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Showing posts with label Investing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Investing. Show all posts

Monday, 11 May 2026

Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from Circle, Nebius, Applied Materials)


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Markets head into the week with strong momentum as AI enthusiasm continues driving U.S. equities higher. The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 both reached record highs last week, led by a 7% surge in technology stocks. Investors remain focused on semiconductor, cloud infrastructure, and data-center companies that are benefiting from the ongoing AI boom.

The biggest macro event will be Tuesday’s April Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. A softer inflation reading could revive expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2026, potentially supporting further gains in growth and technology stocks. Other important economic data this week include Producer Price Index (PPI), retail sales, industrial production, import/export prices, and jobless claims.

Several major earnings releases could influence sentiment. On Monday, Circle reports after its stock jumped nearly 20% following positive stablecoin regulation developments. Investors will also watch Constellation Energy for updates on nuclear power demand tied to AI infrastructure.

Wednesday highlights include Nebius, which recently secured a major Nvidia investment, reinforcing optimism around AI cloud infrastructure. After the bell, Cisco Systems reports, with investors focused on data-center demand.

Thursday brings results from Applied Materials, a key semiconductor equipment supplier expected to benefit from strong chipmaking demand.

Among notable market movers, Intel surged after reports of a manufacturing partnership with Apple and stronger AI collaborations. Rocket Lab rallied on record revenue and new defense contracts, while Nvidia remained supported by expanding AI infrastructure demand despite ongoing geopolitical concerns involving China.

Saturday, 9 May 2026

Investing Updates: Where to park your cash for higher yield? T-bills vs Fixed Deposit vs SSB (May 2026)


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The article compares several popular low-risk ways for Singapore investors to earn better returns on spare cash in May 2026, including fixed deposits, Singapore T-bills, Singapore Savings Bonds (SSBs), savings accounts, and money market funds.

Currently, fixed deposits offer slightly better short-term returns than Singapore T-bills. The best 6-month fixed deposit rate is 1.50% p.a. from HL Bank, while the latest 6-month Singapore T-bill yield remains at 1.40%. Longer fixed deposits from Singapura Finance offer up to 1.52% for 12 months. T-bill yields have gradually declined from 1.60% at the end of 2025 due to changing interest rate expectations.

For savings accounts, banks have also adjusted rates downward. The OCBC 360 Account now offers up to 1.95% interest on the first S$100,000 with salary crediting and spending conditions. The DBS Multiplier Account can provide 2.10% to 4.10% depending on transaction activity, while the UOB Stash Account offers a fuss-free 1.50%.

Singapore Savings Bonds remain attractive for long-term savers. The latest SSB offers a 10-year average return of 2.11% with the flexibility to redeem anytime, making it useful for locking in yields without sacrificing liquidity.

The article also discusses money market funds and cash management accounts such as Syfe Cash+ and Moomoo Singapore, which offer higher flexibility but are not SDIC-insured or capital guaranteed.

For investors holding USD, US fixed deposits and Treasuries offer significantly higher yields around 3.7% to 3.9%, though foreign exchange risk remains an important consideration. Overall, the author recommends diversifying cash across multiple products depending on liquidity needs, safety preferences, and investment goals.

Investing Updates: Ringgit Is at Its Strongest in Years — Should Malaysians Still Buy SGD and USD Assets?


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Malaysia’s Ringgit has rebounded strongly in 2026, reaching multi-year highs against the US Dollar and Singapore Dollar. For years, many Malaysians built wealth by converting Ringgit into USD and SGD assets such as US tech stocks and Singapore REITs, benefiting both from asset growth and Ringgit depreciation. With the Ringgit now stronger, foreign investments have seen weaker FX translation gains, prompting investors to question whether overseas investing still makes sense.

The Ringgit’s strength is supported by several factors. Malaysia has benefited from global supply-chain diversification, attracting major foreign direct investments into Penang’s semiconductor sector and Johor’s data centers. Fiscal reforms, including targeted subsidies and deficit reduction, have improved confidence in the country’s finances. At the same time, Bank Negara Malaysia maintained interest rates while the US Federal Reserve cut rates, narrowing the yield gap and drawing investors back into Malaysian bonds.

Malaysia’s stock market has also staged a strong comeback. Infrastructure projects tied to the National Energy Transition Roadmap and the Johor-Singapore Special Economic Zone boosted construction, utilities, and property stocks. Local investors also enjoy advantages such as no capital gains tax and no withholding tax on dividends, making Malaysian dividend stocks attractive.

Despite this, foreign assets remain important for diversification. Bursa Malaysia lacks exposure to global growth sectors like artificial intelligence, enterprise software, and advanced pharmaceuticals, which are dominated by US companies. A stronger Ringgit also effectively makes foreign assets cheaper to accumulate. Additionally, holding USD and SGD assets provides protection against future political or economic uncertainties in Malaysia.

The article concludes that Malaysians should adopt a “Core-Satellite” strategy: focus primarily on strong local investments while continuing to build selective overseas exposure for diversification and long-term growth.

Monday, 4 May 2026

Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Employment Data & Earnings from PLTR, AMD and CRWV)


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The first full week of May is set to be driven by a mix of major corporate earnings and key U.S. economic data, especially labor market indicators. Companies across AI, tech, crypto, and healthcare will report results, offering insights into growth trends and macro resilience.

On Monday, Palantir is expected to post strong Q1 growth, fueled by rising government AI demand, though risks include weaker global demand and reduced spending.

Tuesday highlights Advanced Micro Devices, where investors will assess whether AI demand is expanding beyond GPUs into broader computing ecosystems. Lumentum and Astera Labs are also expected to benefit from cloud and AI infrastructure growth. Meanwhile, MicroStrategy remains closely tied to its Bitcoin-focused strategy. Economic data includes ISM services and JOLTS job openings.

Wednesday brings results from Novo Nordisk, facing competitive and cost pressures, and Arm Holdings, with attention on its potential shift into selling its own CPUs. Coherent is expected to ride AI data center demand. The ADP payroll report will provide an early look at employment trends.

On Thursday, Coinbase will be watched for progress in subscription services and its broader platform strategy. Rocket Lab and CoreWeave are expected to show strong revenue growth but continued profitability challenges.

Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report is the week’s key macro event, as the Federal Reserve looks for signs of labor market cooling before considering rate cuts.

Overall, strong earnings have recently pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite to record highs, though investors remain cautious about AI spending costs and shifting competitive dynamics.

Monday, 27 April 2026

Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (FOMC Rate Decision and Earnings from AAPL, GOOG, AMZN, META and MSFT)


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The week ahead is packed with major tech earnings and a key Federal Reserve decision, set against a backdrop of geopolitical tension and rising energy prices.

Five “Magnificent Seven” companies—Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft—headline earnings. Revenues are expected to remain strong, driven by AI-related growth, but heavy capital expenditure on AI infrastructure is likely to pressure profit margins.

On the macro front, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold interest rates steady at its April meeting, as policymakers remain cautious due to inflation risks linked to the Iran conflict and oil price volatility. Markets anticipate rate cuts later in the year as unemployment rises.

Economic data will also be closely watched. Consumer confidence may weaken due to high fuel costs and a soft labor market. Later in the week, GDP growth is to rebound to around 2%, while the PCE inflation index could rise to 3.5% year-on-year, reflecting higher gasoline prices.

Corporate earnings outside tech reveal mixed trends. General Motors may see declining revenues and margins due to higher input costs and weaker demand for fuel-heavy vehicles. In contrast, Coca-Cola and Visa are expected to show resilience, supported by pricing power and international growth.

Energy giants ExxonMobil and Chevron face profit declines despite higher oil prices, as production disruptions offset gains.

Overall, the week will test whether AI-driven growth can outweigh rising costs and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Comments:


Interesting week for tech πŸ˜‹

Investing Updates: Why DeFi isn't dead despite massive exploits and $13 billion investor exodus


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Decentralized finance (DeFi) appears shaken after a $292 million exploit linked to KelpDAO and a roughly $13 billion drop in total value locked (TVL). However, the headline numbers overstate the damage. Much of the TVL decline reflects the rapid unwinding of leveraged positions rather than permanent capital loss. Looping strategies—where the same collateral is reused multiple times—inflate TVL during growth periods and exaggerate declines during stress events. As a result, the loss is likely far smaller than $13 billion.

The exploit itself stemmed from infrastructure vulnerabilities, not typical smart contract flaws, highlighting how DeFi’s risk surface has expanded. This will likely push investors to demand higher risk premiums for participating in on-chain systems. Still, such repricing is a correction, not a collapse.

History offers perspective. DeFi has endured larger crises, including Terra and major hacks like Wormhole and Ronin, each involving losses near or above $1 billion. Yet the ecosystem recovered each time. Similarly, recent outflows—such as billions leaving Aave—mirror past panic-driven withdrawals that later reversed as confidence stabilized.

Importantly, capital is not simply exiting DeFi but rotating within it. Protocols perceived as safer or more conservative, like Spark, saw significant inflows during the turmoil, with TVL rising over the same weekend. This suggests users are reallocating rather than abandoning the space.

The deeper issue may be structural: yields in DeFi have become less attractive, often failing to justify the risks compared to traditional finance alternatives. This has encouraged excessive leverage, amplifying volatility during shocks.

In essence, the incident underscores weaknesses but also resilience. DeFi is not dead—it is undergoing another cycle of stress, adaptation, and repricing, with pressure on builders to deliver safer systems and more compelling returns.

Comments:

Good information.

I'm still sticking with my ETH staking πŸ˜‰

Saturday, 25 April 2026

Investing Updates: Singapore Savings Bonds (SSB) 10-year return at 2.14%. Better than fixed deposits and T-bills?


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The latest Singapore Savings Bonds (SSB) issuance in April 2026 offers a 10-year average return of 2.14% per year, up from 1.99% in March. This makes it relatively attractive compared to other low-risk options like fixed deposits and Treasury bills (T-bills). However, projections suggest the next SSB issuance may see a slight dip to around 2.08%–2.09%, reflecting recent declines in Singapore Government Securities (SGS) yields.

For shorter holding periods, the SSB’s 1-year return is 1.40%, which is comparable to the best 12-month fixed deposit rates. It is higher than 3-month fixed deposits (around 1.30%) but slightly lower than top 6-month fixed deposits (about 1.50%). Compared to T-bills, the SSB’s 1-year return matches the latest 6-month T-bill yield of 1.40%, though it trails the 1-year T-bill yield of about 1.46%–1.47%.

A key advantage of SSBs is flexibility. Unlike fixed deposits and T-bills, SSBs allow investors to redeem their funds early without penalty, while still locking in a step-up interest structure over time. This makes them suitable for investors seeking both liquidity and stable returns.

SSB interest rates are closely tied to SGS yields, particularly the 10-year government bond yield. Recent volatility—driven by inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and easing oil prices—has caused yields to fluctuate, which explains the expected decline in future SSB rates.

Demand for SSBs has softened, with April applications falling to S$169 million, below the S$300 million offered.

Overall, the current SSB appears competitive, especially for long-term, low-risk investors. Given the lower future yields, applying now may be more advantageous than waiting.

Finance Updates: New CPF life-cycle investment scheme could channel up to S$9 billion a year into Singapore stocks: Citi


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A new CPF life-cycle investment scheme, set to launch in 2028, could channel significant funds into Singapore’s stock market, potentially injecting S$6 billion to S$9 billion annually, according to Citi. Announced in Budget 2026, the scheme allows CPF members to invest their savings in diversified portfolios that include equities, offering the potential for higher returns compared to the current risk-free CPF interest rates.

The life-cycle approach automatically adjusts asset allocation over time using a “glide path” mechanism. Younger investors will have higher exposure to riskier assets like equities, while portfolios gradually shift Υ€Υ₯ΥΊΥ« safer instruments such as bonds as retirement nears. This structure simplifies investing and reduces the need for active decision-making.

Citi estimates that with CPF annual inflows of about S$58 billion, allocating just 10–15 per cent into equities could generate sustained liquidity for Singapore’s stock market. This would provide ongoing support even after the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s Equity Market Development Programme (EQDP)—a S$6.5 billion initiative launched in 2025—is fully deployed by 2027.

Currently, only about 3 per cent of CPF’s S$661 billion funds are invested in equities, far below the 10–48 per cent typical among Asia-Pacific pension funds. The new scheme aims to close this gap by addressing barriers such as high fees, complexity, and low investor familiarity. It will feature low-cost funds, simplified portfolios, and automatic rebalancing.

While participation is optional and carries investment risks, Citi believes members could achieve “superior returns” compared to CPF’s guaranteed rates (2.5–4 per cent), given that the Straits Times Index has historically delivered stronger long-term growth.

Overall, the scheme could boost both retirement outcomes and Singapore’s equity market liquidity.

Monday, 20 April 2026

Investing Updates: CapitaLand Ascendas REIT preferential offering oversubscribed with strong excess demand


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The preferential offering by CapitaLand Ascendas REIT was strongly oversubscribed, signalling robust investor demand despite mixed participation from existing unitholders.

Launched at S$2.35 per unit on the basis of 28 new units per 1,000 held, the offering aimed to fund part of a S$1.4 billion acquisition in Singapore and Japan. Total applications reached 315.4 million units—about 244% of the 129.1 million units available—driven largely by excess applications rather than initial entitlements.

Valid acceptances from entitled unitholders amounted to 96.1 million units, or 74.45% of the total offering, indicating that not all investors took up their allocated shares. This left around 33 million units available for excess allocation. However, demand for excess units surged to 219.3 million units—about 6.6 times the available balance—meaning applicants are unlikely to receive their full requested amounts.

Importantly, the REIT’s sponsor, CLI RE Fund Investments, fully subscribed to its entitlement, reinforcing confidence in the exercise. Post-offering, it will hold about 16.07% of total units.

From a fundamentals perspective, the acquisitions funded by this exercise are expected to be accretive. Pro forma figures suggest a 2.1% increase in FY2025 distribution per unit (DPU), rising further to around 4.1% when including additional acquisitions. Financial metrics remain stable, with only a slight increase in leverage and an improvement in net asset value.

Overall, the strong excess demand helps absorb unsubscribed units and reduces overhang concerns. Combined with attractive valuation metrics—such as a dividend yield of 5.9% above historical averages—the REIT remains appealing for income-focused investors.

Investing Updates: Why I Think It Make Sense To Invest Your CPF OA Savings In A Global Portfolio Through Endowus


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The author argues that investing excess CPF Ordinary Account (OA) savings through Endowus can be a sensible way to achieve higher long-term growth—provided certain conditions are met.

First, “excess” OA funds refer to amounts beyond what is needed to cover mortgage payments for a few years as a safety buffer. Once this buffer is secured, leaving all funds in the OA earning a risk-free 2.5% may not be the most efficient strategy for long-term retirement growth. Investing offers the potential for higher returns, though not without trade-offs.

A key consideration is cost. OA interest is both risk-free and fee-free, whereas investing through Endowus involves a 0.40% annual management fee plus underlying fund fees. Therefore, returns must exceed these costs to justify investing.

Risk is another major factor. Unlike guaranteed OA interest, investment returns fluctuate and may result in losses. This risk can be managed by choosing conservative portfolios, maintaining a long investment horizon (ideally 10+ years), and diversifying globally to reduce concentration in any single market.

The author prefers Endowus’ advised portfolios rather than building a DIY portfolio, citing convenience and lack of time. These portfolios also provide global exposure, which helps overcome Singapore’s small and concentrated market, allowing access to major international companies and sectors.

Ultimately, investing CPF OA savings is not for everyone. It only makes sense if one has sufficient housing reserves, accepts market risk, and has decades before retirement. While transferring OA funds to the Special Account is a safer alternative, investing part of excess OA savings in a globally diversified portfolio may offer better long-term growth for those with the right profile.

Sunday, 19 April 2026

Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Retail Sales, Flash PMIs & Earnings from TSLA, INTC, BA)


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The week ahead is packed with major earnings, key economic data, and ongoing geopolitical concerns, all of which could shape market direction after equities recently hit record highs.

Earnings focus:
Heavyweights across sectors are reporting. Healthcare giant UnitedHealth kicks off Monday under pressure from margin concerns, while GE Aerospace and RTX are expected to benefit from strong aerospace and defense demand. On Tuesday, Boeing remains in turnaround mode with expected losses, making production progress and cash burn critical. Tesla headlines the week, with investors watching vehicle deliveries, AI developments, robotaxi timelines, and energy storage growth after a weak revenue backdrop. IBM and Lam Research will provide insight into AI software and semiconductor demand.

Midweek, attention shifts to American Express and Intel. AmEx faces slowing consumer spending trends, while Intel’s strong stock rally contrasts with near-zero earnings expectations, setting up potential volatility. Newmont may benefit from surging gold prices. By Thursday, Procter & Gamble will highlight consumer resilience amid tariffs, currency headwinds, and weak sentiment.

Economic data:
Retail sales (Monday) will gauge consumer strength, while Wednesday’s Flash PMIs are the most important macro release, offering an early look at April business activity and the impact of tariffs and energy costs. Jobless claims will also be monitored for labor market signals.

Market backdrop:
Markets enter the week with strong momentum. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently hit record highs, driven by AI optimism, easing geopolitical tensions, and strong earnings. Tech and AI-linked stocks led gains, with sharp rebounds in companies like Oracle, Tesla, and Microsoft.

Overall, this week combines high-stakes earnings with crucial economic indicators, making it a key test of whether the current market rally can sustain its momentum.

Friday, 17 April 2026

Investing Updates: More older millennials and Gen X in Singapore investing in cryptocurrency: report


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A 2026 report by Independent Reserve shows that cryptocurrency adoption in Singapore is rising, particularly among older millennials and Gen X in the “sandwich class” (aged 35–54). About one-third of Singaporeans now own or have owned crypto, up from 29% in 2025, with participation especially high among middle-income individuals supporting both children and ageing parents.

For this group, crypto investing is driven more by financial necessity than novelty. Around 77% see it as important for long-term wealth building, significantly higher than the broader population. They are also more active traders, with 65% having sold crypto in the past year versus 44% overall.

Despite growing interest, most investors remain cautious. About 76% allocate 10% or less of their portfolio to crypto, consistent with a typical 70/20/10 asset allocation approach where crypto falls into higher-risk investments. Key motivations include portfolio diversification (38%), access to growth opportunities beyond traditional finance (33%), wealth accumulation (41%), and legacy planning (55%). Only a small minority (11%) invest for ideological reasons.

Investment behaviour also matters. Those using dollar-cost averaging (DCA) report better outcomes, with 55% seeing gains and only 15% reporting losses, compared with weaker results among irregular investors. Long-term holding further improves performance, with 87% reporting profits over a 10-year horizon.

However, barriers remain. Nearly half of non-investors cite price volatility as the main deterrent. Both investors and non-investors emphasise the importance of clear regulation, responsible industry practices, and stronger consumer protection to build trust. The findings suggest that while crypto is increasingly viewed as a legitimate part of diversified portfolios, greater education and understanding are still needed.

Investing Updates: Let’s combine the benefits of the broker custody model and the seamless experience of the CDP


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The article argues that Singapore’s stock market could be strengthened by combining the advantages of the broker custody model with the Central Depository (CDP) system, rather than favouring one over the other.

The CDP model remains popular among local retail investors because it is simple, cost-free, and gives shareholders direct ownership of their securities. This direct ownership makes corporate participation seamless—investors receive communications directly and can easily attend annual general meetings (AGMs) without intermediaries. Such ease of exercising shareholder rights is a key strength that should not be lost.

However, the broker custody model is increasingly used, especially by investors who trade overseas markets. It is also the dominant system globally. One major benefit is consolidation: investors can hold both local and foreign securities in a single account, making portfolio management more convenient. Brokers can also offer value-added services such as investment advice, fractional trading, and portfolio management. Because brokers have visibility over clients’ holdings, they can provide more tailored guidance—for example, advising on whether to participate in a REIT rights issue.

Despite these advantages, broker custody has drawbacks. Shareholders do not hold securities in their own name, which complicates participation in AGMs. Investors must arrange proxies through brokers, often with significant lead time, making the process less convenient and potentially discouraging engagement.

The article concludes that while both models have merit, the future lies in integrating their strengths. As regulators explore expanding broker custody usage, they should also incorporate the seamless shareholder experience offered by the CDP. A hybrid approach could enhance investor convenience, improve access to services, and ultimately help revitalise Singapore’s equity market.

Investing Updates: iEdge Next 50 Liquidity Weighted Index outperforms STI on tech strength


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The iEdge Singapore Next 50 Liquidity Weighted Index has outperformed the Straits Times Index (STI) in 2026, delivering a 9.7% year-to-date return versus the STI’s 8.9%. This index tracks the 50 largest Singapore-listed companies just below the STI but differs by weighting stocks based on trading liquidity rather than market capitalisation, reflecting where investor activity is most concentrated.

Liquidity has risen significantly, with average daily turnover reaching S$275 million through mid-April, up 43% from 2025. Valuations have also improved, as seen in the increase in median price-to-book ratios from 1.05 to 1.23. This suggests stronger investor demand and engagement with mid-cap stocks.

Technology has emerged as the key driver of performance. Four major tech-related constituents—Frencken, UMS, CSE Global, and iFast—make up nearly 20% of the index and have collectively delivered strong gains, averaging 43% returns since 2025. Their trading activity has also surged, with turnover increasing 2.5 times. Growth in these firms is linked to the global artificial intelligence-driven semiconductor cycle and rising demand for digital infrastructure.

While real estate investment trusts (REITs) remain the largest sector and provide stability through steady cash flows, the momentum has shifted toward technology and digital infrastructure. This reflects a broader trend where capital is flowing into sectors tied to data centres, automation, AI-enabled manufacturing, and digital services.

The index’s liquidity-weighted approach highlights stocks attracting sustained investor participation rather than simply large firms. Looking ahead, Singapore’s tech ecosystem is expected to remain supported, though growth will be more execution-driven and capital-intensive, favouring companies with scale, reliability, and strong cross-border capabilities.

Monday, 13 April 2026

Investing Updates: Is the 1-year T-bill better than the 6-month T-bill and fixed deposits?


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The article examines whether the 1-year Singapore T-bill offers better value than the 6-month T-bill and fixed deposits amid fluctuating interest rates.

T-bill yields have recently rebounded, with the 6-month yield rising to about 1.47% and the 1-year T-bill closing yield at around 1.46% as of April 2026. While yields are similar, demand for T-bills has remained strong, which may keep yields competitive but also uncertain at auction.

A key consideration is reinvestment risk. Investors choosing two consecutive 6-month T-bills may achieve similar or better returns if rates rise, but face uncertainty if rates fall. In contrast, the 1-year T-bill allows investors to lock in current rates for a longer period, offering more certainty. This may be appealing given expectations that US interest rates could remain largely stable in 2026, with only modest cuts projected later.

Compared to fixed deposits, the 1-year T-bill currently offers a slightly higher yield (1.46% vs about 1.40% for best 1-year fixed deposits). However, shorter-term fixed deposits can offer higher rates (around 1.50% for 6 months), though they often require minimum deposits (e.g. S$10,000).

Singapore Savings Bonds (SSBs) provide similar 1-year returns (around 1.40%) but offer greater flexibility, including the option to redeem early and higher long-term returns if held for up to 10 years.

Ultimately, the choice depends on priorities. The 1-year T-bill is suitable for investors seeking to lock in a stable return and reduce reinvestment risk, while the 6-month T-bill or fixed deposits may suit those ΥΈΥΎ value flexibility or wish to take advantage of potential rate increases.

Friday, 10 April 2026

Property Updates: Property upgrading has built wealth for many, but what is the full cost of the dream?


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Property upgrading in Singapore—typically moving from public housing to private property—has long been seen as a reliable path to wealth. However, this narrative deserves closer scrutiny. While past generations benefited from rising prices and favourable conditions, today’s buyers face higher costs, tighter regulations, and more uncertain returns.

A common scenario illustrates the trade-offs: a couple upgrades from an HDB flat to a condo, doubling their mortgage and stretching their finances. Despite meeting lending criteria, their increased expenses—loan repayments, maintenance fees, childcare, and insurance—leave little financial buffer. The result is often longer working hours, lifestyle sacrifices, and mounting stress, raising the question of whether this is truly an “upgrade” in quality of life.

Experts like Christopher Tan argue that past success has been ΰ¦­ুলly treated as a universal rule. What worked in earlier decades may not apply today. Similarly, entrepreneur Jeremy Ko highlights the psychological toll of large mortgages and the opportunity cost of tying up capital in property rather than more flexible or higher-return investments.

Financially, property gains may also be less impressive than they appear. After accounting for stamp duties, interest, taxes, and maintenance, returns can be modest, and losses are not uncommon. Property is also a concentrated, illiquid asset—difficult to sell partially and heavily reliant on market conditions.

Beyond finances, upgrading can reduce flexibility and freedom. Heavy debt may limit career choices, delay life decisions, and erode peace of mind. While safeguards like loan limits prevent over-borrowing, they do not guarantee comfort or long-term affordability.

Ultimately, upgrading should not be an automatic goal but a deliberate decision. Buyers should consider not just potential profits, but also lifestyle impact, financial resilience, and whether the move truly supports a meaningful and sustainable way of living.

Investing Updates: DeFi yields are crashing so hard that they can't compete with a traditional savings account


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Decentralized finance (DeFi) is facing a sharp decline in yields, undermining one of its core attractions: higher returns in exchange for higher risk. In 2026, leading protocols like Aave now offer around 2.6% APY on stablecoins such as USDC—below the roughly 3.1% available through traditional platforms like Interactive Brokers. This reversal means investors are taking on greater smart contract and security risks while earning less than in traditional finance (TradFi).

During the 2021–2022 boom, DeFi yields often exceeded 20%, with some protocols offering far higher returns. However, those rates were largely driven by token incentives and speculative demand, which have since faded. Today, “organic yield” based on borrowing demand has weakened significantly, dragging rates down across the sector. Even standout projects like Ethena have seen yields drop from over 40% to around 3.5%, alongside declining deposits.

The few remaining competitive yields—typically between 3.5% and 6%—are increasingly tied to real-world assets such as U.S. Treasuries or private credit. While this helps boost returns, it blurs the line between DeFi and traditional finance, which some investors aimed to avoid.

At the same time, risks remain high. Crypto exploits surged to $2.47 billion in 2025, with attacks evolving beyond code vulnerabilities to include social engineering and operational failures. Incidents like the Resolv exploit highlight how even non-technical weaknesses can cause major losses.

Adding pressure, potential regulation such as the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act could restrict passive stablecoin yields, further limiting DeFi’s appeal.

With lower returns, persistent risks, and regulatory uncertainty, DeFi’s value proposition is weakening. Investors must now reconsider whether the reduced rewards still justify the exposure.

Monday, 6 April 2026

Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (March CPI, FOMC Minutes, Core PCE & Earnings from DAL, APLD)


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Claude:


Week Ahead: CPI, FOMC Minutes, and Key Earnings in Focus

The week's dominant macro event is Friday's March CPI print, with Bloomberg Economics forecasting a sharp +0.9% month-on-month surge — the largest since June 2022 — pushing the year-on-year rate to 3.3%, driven primarily by a gasoline spike linked to the ongoing Iran conflict. The critical question is whether this represents a one-off energy shock or the beginning of a broader inflation re-acceleration that closes the door on near-term Fed rate cuts.

Wednesday's FOMC minutes from the March 17–18 meeting are expected to confirm broad consensus to hold rates steady, with Chair Powell maintaining a high bar for any easing until core inflation trends convincingly toward 2%. Thursday's Core PCE reading is forecast at +0.44% month-on-month, with the year-on-year rate edging down slightly to 3.0%.

On the activity side, Monday's ISM Services PMI and Tuesday's durable goods orders are both expected to hold up reasonably well, keeping the macro backdrop "solid but inflationary." With the VIX elevated, markets are likely to stay cautious heading into the Thursday–Friday risk window.

Key earnings include Delta Air Lines (Wednesday), which will serve as a live read on airlines' ability to pass fuel cost increases through to consumers via higher fares. Applied Digital and BlackBerry also report, offering insights into AI data centre monetisation and cybersecurity spending respectively.

In markets last week, Intel surged after repurchasing Apollo's stake in its Irish chip facility, Microsoft unveiled new proprietary AI models, and Nvidia benefited from sustained AI hardware demand. Tesla fell after missing delivery expectations, while Micron staged a partial recovery following early pressure over reduced AI memory demand concerns.

Investing Updates: Ascendas REIT Preferential Offering: Asking $300M From Unitholders to Buy $1.4B in Properties. Should You Give?


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Claude:


Ascendas REIT's $1.4B Acquisition: Should Unitholders Participate?

CapitaLand Ascendas REIT (CLAR) has announced a S$1.4 billion acquisition of three assets, backed by an Equity Fund Raising (EFR) targeting at least S$900 million. While dilution is an immediate concern for unitholders, the underlying assets and deal structure suggest a strategically sound move.

The three acquisitions span developed markets: a logistics complex at 25 Loyang Crescent, Singapore (S$504.2M, 6.9% NPI yield, fully occupied); a 50% stake in Ascent at Singapore Science Park (S$245M, 5.6% yield); and a 49% interest in a Greater Osaka data centre (S$620.7M, 4.3% yield), fully leased with a ~14-year lease featuring annual rent escalations.

Together, these assets improve CLAR's portfolio meaningfully — overall occupancy rises from 90.9% to 91.5%, and the Weighted Average Lease Expiry (WALE) extends from 3.7 to 4.3 years, locking in more visible recurring revenue. The acquisitions are also DPU accretive by 2.12%, while leverage increases by just 0.7 percentage points.

The EFR comprises a private placement — heavily oversubscribed by institutional investors — and a preferential offering open to existing unitholders at S$2.35–S$2.40 per unit, a 4.5%–6.5% discount to pre-announcement prices, helping offset dilution. The preferential offering opens 7 April, with a deadline of 15 April 2026.

The key risk is the macro environment. Ongoing Middle East tensions could delay interest rate cuts, keeping borrowing costs elevated and pressuring REIT valuations. However, financing this deal primarily through equity rather than debt is a prudent move that protects CLAR's balance sheet.

Overall, for long-term investors, participation in the preferential offering appears worthwhile.

Comments:

Yet another Rights issue in one of the old REITs in my portfolio.

I don't think this is a good time to do this.

Will subscribe to it as I'm still having a long runway to retirement.

Monday, 30 March 2026

Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead(PMI, Unemployment Rate, and Earnings from RZLV, GRRR, NKE and LAES)


Source:



Claude:


Week Ahead Summary (March 30 – April 3)

Macro Focus This week is dominated by a packed U.S. economic calendar testing three pillars simultaneously: consumer sentiment, labor demand, and spending. Key releases include Consumer Confidence and JOLTS (March 31), ADP employment, retail sales, and ISM Manufacturing (April 1), jobless claims (April 2), and the marquee March nonfarm payrolls report (April 3). If these data points soften in unison, markets will lean into a growth-cooling narrative; if resilient, a "higher-for-longer" rates mindset may reassert itself.

Market Note U.S. equity markets are closed Friday for Good Friday, despite the jobs report dropping that morning. Initial reactions will play out in futures, bonds, FX, and commodities — potentially making Monday's open more volatile.

Key Earnings Nike (NKE) reports Tuesday after the close and is the week's most important company event. Investors want signs of North America stabilization, inventory normalization, gross margin recovery, and clearer China guidance. A cautious tone could drag on discretionary retail broadly. Other names reporting include Rezolve AI and Gorilla Technology (Monday), SEALSQ Corp and Bitfarms (Tuesday), and Cal-Maine Foods (Wednesday).

Market Sentiment Broader markets have been under pressure from surging oil prices and geopolitical tensions, pushing the Nasdaq into correction territory. AI-related names remain central — Nvidia holds its position as the AI bellwether, Arm Holdings surged on data-center chip ambitions, and Apple re-entered the AI conversation. Micron slid ~16% after Alphabet unveiled memory-efficiency technology raising demand concerns. Tesla continues trading as an AI/robotics story rather than purely an EV play.

Comments:

Challenging times continue...