Investing Updates : Lululemon, Dollar Tree, Inflation, Home Prices, and More to Watch This Week

Source : 

https://ttm.financial/news/2521020020?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental

Apple Intelligence : 

• Key Economic Indicator: February’s core personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, is expected to rise by 2.7% year over year.

• Earnings Reports: GameStop, Dollar Tree, and Lululemon Athletica will release their earnings reports.

• Other Economic Releases: S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ indexes for March, a consumer sentiment survey from the Conference Board, and the durable goods report from the Census Bureau will be released.

• Economic Indicators: The Census Bureau will release new residential sales data and the durable goods report. The Conference Board will release the Consumer Confidence Index.

• Earnings Reports: Chewy, Cintas, Dollar Tree, Jefferies Financial Group, Paychex, and Lululemon will announce quarterly results.

• GDP and Inflation: The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final estimate of fourth-quarter GDP growth and the personal consumption expenditures price index.

Investing Updates : Fear or Greed? Decoding S&P 500 Corrections: 61% Rebound Chance Since 1929

Source : 

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/fear-or-greed-decoding-s-p-500-corrections-61-rebound-114188746031110

Apple Intelligence :

• Market Correction: The S&P 500 experienced a 10.1% correction, erasing gains from the “Trump rally” and reflecting concerns over tariffs, stagflation, and supply chain issues.

• Historical Rebound Probability: Since 1929, the S&P 500 has a 61% chance of rebounding after a correction, with an average return of 18% in the subsequent 12 months.

• Recent Performance: The S&P 500 has shown resilience, with an average return of 18% in the 12 months following nine corrections since 2010, excluding the 2022 decline due to interest rate hikes.

• Market Downturn Triggers: Trade frictions escalating to systemic risks, like the 2000 dot-com bubble, can lead to prolonged downturns.

• Bearish Argument: Unpriced risks include tariff impact, stagflation concerns, and a tech stock retreat.

• Bullish Argument: Robust corporate earnings support market resilience.

• Investment Strategy: Gradual position building with 10%-15% cash reserve, increasing allocation to utilities and consumer staples, and reducing exposure to tech and industrial stocks.

• Hedging Recommendations: Consider gold ETFs or VIX call options to hedge against potential market downturns.

• Liquidity Support: Potential rate cuts and lower Treasury yields provide some support to the stock market.

• Investment Strategy: Long-term investment in S&P 500 put options (15% out-of-the-money) and defensive stocks.

• Defensive Stock Sectors: Consumer staples and healthcare.

• Short-Term Monitoring: Changes in White House tariff policies and CPI/PMI data to alleviate stagflation concerns.

Investing Updates : Fed Meeting; Retail Sales Data; Nvidia GTC 2025; Micron, Nike, and NIO Earnings: What to Watch This Week

Source : 

https://ttm.financial/news/2520588628?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental

Apple Intelligence : 

• Key Event: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will announce the monetary-policy decision and release the updated Summary of Economic Projections.

• Market Focus: The retail sales report on Monday and several data releases on the health of the housing market are highly anticipated.

• Earnings Reports: General Mills on Wednesday, FedEx and Nike on Thursday, and Carnival on Friday.

• Housing Market Sentiment: The National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for March, indicating homebuilder sentiment.

• Housing Construction: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction statistics for February, reflecting housing starts.

• Interest Rate Decision: The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision, including potential interest rate changes.

Investing Updates : Here's the Breakdown for US February Nonfarm Payrolls, in One Chart

Source:

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/114121475358725?global_content=%7B%22promote_content%22%3A%22mm%3Afeed%3A114121475358725%22%2C%22invite%22%3A103096561%7D&is_recommendation=0&is_recommend_pos=0&futusource=news_headline_list

Apple Intelligence:

• Job Market Performance: The US economy added 151,000 jobs in February 2025, with significant gains in healthcare, financial activities, transportation, and social assistance.

• Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% in February 2025, slightly exceeding market expectations.

• Sectoral Trends: Healthcare saw substantial job growth, while retail experienced a decline, and other sectors showed minimal changes.

Technology Updates : Lenovo's Wild Concept Devices Surprised Us at MWC 2025

Investing Updates : What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from AVGO, COST; Trump Tariffs; February Jobs)

Source: 

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/114092163530758?global_content=%7B%22promote_content%22%3A%22mm%3Afeed%3A114092163530758%22%2C%22invite%22%3A103096561%7D&futusource=news_headline_topnews

Apple Intelligence:

• Earnings Reports: Earnings reports from tech companies like Broadcom and Marvell Technology, and retail giants like Costco, Target, Best Buy, and Macy’s.

• Broadcom Earnings Forecast: Analysts expect Broadcom’s revenue to reach $14.59 billion, a 22% increase year-over-year.

• Costco Earnings Forecast: Analysts forecast Costco’s revenue to reach $63.015 billion, an 8% increase year-over-year.

• Market Performance in February: The S&P 500 experienced a 1.42% decline due to tariff threats and a pullback in megacap tech stocks.

• Upcoming Events Impacting Market: Impending 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports, 10% tariffs on Chinese goods, and the February jobs report.

• Investor Sentiment: Tariff threats and a pullback in megacap tech stocks have shaken investor confidence.

Investing Updates : Nvidia, Snowflake, Salesforce Earnings; Inflation Data and More: What to Know This Week

Source:

https://ttm.financial/news/2513675260?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental

Grok 3:

This week, two major economic events will take center stage: NVIDIA's Q4 earnings report and the release of the latest personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data. NVIDIA, one of the "Magnificent Seven" companies driving market gains, will announce its financial results on Wednesday after the market closes, wrapping up this earnings season for the group. On Friday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the January PCE price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, with economists predicting a 2.5% year-over-year rise and a core PCE increase of 2.6%, the latter being the lowest since March 2021. Inflation concerns have resurfaced following a 3% annual increase in the consumer price index in January.

Beyond these highlights, the week is packed with earnings reports from various companies across multiple days. Monday features firms like Domino's Pizza and Zoom Communications; Tuesday includes Home Depot and Intuit; Wednesday brings Lowe's and Salesforce alongside NVIDIA; Thursday showcases Dell Technologies and Royal Bank of Canada; and other notable releases are sprinkled throughout. Additionally, key economic data will roll out: Tuesday’s Case-Shiller Home Price Index and Consumer Confidence Index, Wednesday’s new residential sales figures, Thursday’s GDP second estimate and durable goods report, and Friday’s PCE data, providing a comprehensive snapshot of economic trends as of February 23, 2025.

Investing Updates : ETF Giants Reshuffle: VOO Claims Top Spot, Is IVV Poised to Overtake SPY as the No. 2 ETF?

Source:

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/etf-giants-reshuffle-voo-claims-top-spot-is-ivv-poised-114035668681110

Apple Intelligence:

• Largest ETF: Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) surpassed SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) as the world’s largest ETF.
• Reason for Success: VOO’s low expense ratio (0.03%) compared to SPY (0.09%) attracted more investors.
• Growth Trend: VOO’s AUM surpassed SPY’s in a shorter time and experienced higher annual inflows.

• Vanguard’s ETF Success: Vanguard’s unique ETF structure and ecosystem have attracted significant investment, with VOO receiving $154 billion since 2022.
• Market Dominance: VOO, while not dominating trading volume like SPY, thrives on long-term capital and is favored by retail investors.
• Competition and Growth: BlackRock’s IVV, with its low expense ratio and growing AUM, is poised to surpass SPY as the second-largest ETF.

• Expense Ratio Impact: A 0.06% difference in expense ratio can result in nearly $15,000 more after 30 years, highlighting the importance of expense ratios for long-term investors.
• Investment Inflows: IVV attracted significantly more investment inflows than SPY in 2024, suggesting a potential shift in investor preference.
• Performance Comparison: VOO and IVV, with lower expense ratios, have outperformed SPY, leading to their increasing popularity.

• Popular ETFs: VTI, QQQ, VOO, and IVV are popular ETFs.
• VTI Characteristics: Offers exposure to the entire U.S. stock market with a low expense ratio.
• QQQ Characteristics: Tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, heavily weighted towards tech companies, with a higher expense ratio.

Investing Updates: China's Terrific Ten Are Beating Mag 7. Will the Current Momentum Carry On?

Source:

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/114019750576134?global_content=%7B%22promote_content%22%3A%22mm%3Afeed%3A114019750576134%22%2C%22invite%22%3A103096561%7D&is_recommendation=0&is_recommend_pos=1&futusource=news_headline_list

Apple Intelligence:

• Chinese Tech Stock Performance: The Hang Seng TECH Index surged by 23.08% since the start of the year, driven by the performance of major Chinese tech firms known as the ‘Terrific Ten’.

• Government Support: Chinese President Xi Jinping met with leading entrepreneurs, including Jack Ma, to boost entrepreneurial spirit and potentially fuel a long-term rally in Chinese tech stocks.

• Market Sentiment: Despite a slight drop in Hong Kong tech stocks on Monday, analysts view the meeting with President Xi as a positive sign for the sector.

• Government Support for Tech Industry: The meeting highlights the government’s strong backing for the tech industry as a key driver of economic growth.

• Positive Market Sentiment: The meeting is seen as a positive signal for the private sector, potentially leading to further AI-driven market growth and improved sentiment.

• Upcoming Drivers for Chinese Stock Market: Key drivers include the upcoming earnings season and the Two Sessions scheduled for March.

• Tech Giants’ Earnings Outlook: China’s top eight tech giants are experiencing a positive outlook for 2025, with earnings forecasts increasing by over 7% on average since mid-2024.

• Profit Growth Drivers: Industry leaders like Xiaomi, JD.com, and Meituan have raised their profit expectations, driven by factors such as Xiaomi’s robust EV sector and economic stimulus.

• Analyst Forecast Revisions: The initiation of fourth-quarter earnings could lead to upward revisions in analyst forecasts to align with recent price increases.

• Two Sessions Impact: China’s annual parliamentary meeting, the Two Sessions, starting on March 5, 2025, is expected to significantly influence the Chinese stock market due to discussions on policy goals and economic stimuli.

• Analyst Predictions: Deutsche Bank analyst Peter Milliken predicts a gradual elimination of the “valuation discount” on Chinese stocks in 2025, urging investors to reevaluate China’s competitiveness.

• DeepSeek’s Influence: Invesco’s Ma Lei highlights DeepSeek’s competitive AI performance at lower costs, suggesting it could catalyze a reevaluation of the Chinese stock market and benefit listed companies.

• Positive Market Sentiment: HSBC views DeepSeek positively, citing technological advancements and cost benefits.

• Growth Sectors: DeepSeek is expected to boost investment sentiment in Chinese growth sectors, particularly AI applications, computational power, and humanoid robots.

• Market Outlook: AI-related sectors are anticipated to be a highlight in the Chinese stock market during the first quarter of 2025.

Opinion:

Nice chart of Mag 7 vs Terrific 10.

Innovation happens when there's competition. 

Just hope there's more peace between the countries 😅

Investing Updates : Alibaba, Grab, Walmart Earnings; Fed Minutes; Manufacturing Update: What to Watch This Week

Source:

https://ttm.financial/news/2512515499?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental

Apple Intelligence:

• Market Closure: U.S. markets will be closed on Monday for Presidents Day.

• Earnings Reports: Arista Networks, Devon Energy, Medtronic, and Occidental Petroleum report on Tuesday, followed by Analog Devices and Garmin on Wednesday. Alibaba Group Holding, Block, Booking Holdings, Newmont, and Walmart will be Thursday’s highlights.

• Economic Indicators: Minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s late January meeting will be published on Wednesday afternoon. S&P Global will release both its Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February on Friday. Housing data to watch this week will include the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for February on Tuesday, the Census Bureau’s housing starts for January on Wednesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for January on Friday.

• Market Closure: Equity and fixed-income markets are closed on Presidents Day.

• Earnings Reports: Companies like Arista, Cadence Design Systems, Celanese, and others will release quarterly results on Tuesday.

• Economic Indicators: The National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for February on Tuesday, and the Census Bureau reports new residential construction data for January on Wednesday.

• Earnings Reports: Akamai Technologies, Alibaba, Baxter International, Block, Booking, Builders FirstSource, CenterPoint Energy, Cheniere Energy, Copart, Epam Systems, Hasbro, Insulet, LKQ, Live Nation, Newmont, Nu Holdings, Pool Corp., Quanta Services, Southern Co., Targa Resources, and Walmart hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.

• Economic Indicators: S&P Global releases Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers’ Indexes for February.

• Housing Market: The National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for January.

Opinion:

Should be a normal sideways week for markets.

Alibaba, Walmart and Grab will be grabbing attention.

Grok 3 chatbot would be an interesting AI development.

Investing Updates : Here's the Breakdown for January CPI, in One Chart

Source:

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/here-s-the-breakdown-for-january-cpi-in-one-chart-113991310704645

Apple Intelligence:

• Inflation Rate: The annual inflation rate in the US increased to 3% in January 2025.
• Food Costs: Food costs rose by 2.5% YoY, consistent with the previous month’s data.
• Energy Costs: Energy costs increased by 1.0% YoY, after a 0.5% decrease in December.

Opinion:

Everyone thinks trump's policies will increase inflation even further 😅

More positive data is now required to boost market sentiment. End of wars might do it too.

Volatile times ahead.

Investing Updates : What to Expect in the Week Ahead (COIN, APP, SMCI Earnings; US January CPI)

Source:

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/what-to-expect-in-the-week-ahead-coin-app-smci-113978437927718?global_content=%7B%22promote_content%22%3A%22mm%3Afeed%3A113978437927718%22%2C%22invite%22%3A103096561%7D&is_recommendation=0&is_recommend_pos=0&futusource=news_headline_list

Apple Intelligence:

• Earnings Release Date: Coinbase will announce its Q4 2024 financial results on February 13, 2025, after the market closes.
• Revenue and EPS Projections: $1.75 billion in revenue (83.80% year-over-year increase) and an EPS of $1.90 (82.82% year-over-year increase).
• Key Highlights: Strong double-digit growth in transaction revenue and subscription & services.

• SMCI Earnings Release: SMCI will release its fiscal Q2 2025 update on February 11, after the market close.
• SMCI Earnings Forecast: Analysts expect SMCI to report revenue of $5.78 billion, a 57.60% increase, and an EPS of $0.53, up 4.71%.
• Applovin Earnings Release: Applovin will release its Q4 financial results after market close on Wednesday.

• Shopify Earnings Release: Shopify will release its Q4 and full-year 2024 financial results on Tuesday, February 11.
• Analyst Expectations: Analysts anticipate a strong performance with a 27.4% year-over-year increase in revenue to $2.73 billion and a 71.2% rise in EPS to $0.43.
• Shopify Business Strategy: Shopify focuses on e-commerce software and services, reducing exposure to tariffs, and leveraging strategic growth drivers like attracting enterprise-level businesses and enhancing its platform with AI and automation.

Opinion:

Quite a few important companies are reporting earnings this week.

Plenty of data tabled for release also.

Markets should be volatile.

Investing Updates : Here's the Breakdown for US January Nonfarm Payrolls, in One Chart

Source: 

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/113962924245001?global_content=%7B%22promote_content%22%3A%22mm%3Afeed%3A113962924245001%22%2C%22invite%22%3A103096561%7D&is_recommendation=0&is_recommend_pos=1&futusource=news_headline_list

Apple Intelligence:

• Job Market Performance (January 2025): The US economy added 143,000 jobs, falling short of expectations and revised December figures.
• Sectoral Performance: Healthcare, retail trade, social assistance, and government employment experienced job gains.
• Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate decreased to 4.0%, reaching its lowest point since May 2024.

Opinion:

So many things happening in the world right now. DeepSeek, Trump Tariffs/Policies, etc.

Not sure how important data is for market actions 😂.

For FED, this is probably quite important.

Investing Updates : Vanguard Cuts Fees on Dozens of ETFs, Mutual Funds

Source: https://www.etf.com/sections/news/vanguard-cuts-fees-dozens-etfs-mutual-funds?utm_source=yahoo-finance&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=yahoo-finance-rss

Apple Intelligence:

• Fee Reduction Impact: Vanguard’s fee cuts will save investors over $350 million in 2025.

• Fee Reduction Scope: The fee cuts apply to 168 mutual fund and ETF share classes, including both active and passive strategies.

• Fee Reduction Rationale: Lower costs enable investors to keep more of their returns, which compound over time.

• Fee Reduction Timing: May benefit bond investors as yields are expected to stabilize at higher levels.

• Performance of Vanguard Funds: 91% of active bond funds and ETFs outperformed their peer group average over the past decade.

• Expense Ratio Reduction Scope: Applies to U.S. equity, international equity, and money market funds, with immediate effect.

Opinion:

Good news for ETF lovers.

Hope more will follow suit to cut fees.

Investing Updates : February's Must-See Financial Events: Nvidia and Alphabet Earnings, Inflation Data

URL: https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/113922953969670?global_content=%7B%22promote_content%22%3A%22mm%3Afeed%3A113922953969670%22%2C%22invite%22%3A103096561%7D&is_recommendation=0&is_recommend_pos=0&futusource=news_headline_list

DeepSeek:

Summary of February's Key Financial Events:

January Recap:

U.S. stocks surged in January, with the S&P 500 reaching a record high of 6,128 (up 3.22% by Jan. 30). Major tech firms like Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, and Apple kicked off earnings season, while Chinese equities rallied sharply (+8.1% for the NASDAQ Golden Dragon China Index) driven by advancements in AI models.

February Highlights:

1. Earnings Spotlight: 

   - Alphabet (Google): Reports post-market on Feb. 4. Investors will focus on growth in Google Services/Cloud, 2025 guidance, and potential impacts of AI developments (e.g., DeepSeek).  

   - Nvidia: Releases results on Feb. 26. Key focus includes demand for its high-end AI chips amid competition from cost-efficient alternatives like DeepSeek, AI industry trends, and implications for semiconductor sector valuations.  

2. Macroeconomic Events:

   - Feb. 7: U.S. non-farm payrolls and unemployment data.  

   - Feb. 12: CPI inflation report.  

   - Feb. 19: FOMC meeting minutes release.  

   These indicators will clarify the U.S. economic outlook and shape expectations for the Fed’s rate-cut trajectory, influencing market volatility.

Why It Matters:

Alphabet and Nvidia’s earnings could signal tech sector health and AI momentum, while inflation and labor data will affect monetary policy bets. Investors will reassess risks and opportunities in equities amid evolving macroeconomic and competitive landscapes.

Opinion:

All eyes on U.S. CPI and Nvidia results. 

DeepSeek has caused some fear in U.S.

As ever, expect the unexpected. Might turn ultra bearish or bullish anytime.