Source:
https://www.youtube.com/live/NdTQQ9K9Be0?si=19UgjsOePzGoVQSa
Comments:
Great support for my family.
Kudos to the team who invented Child LifeSG credits π
Showing posts with label Data. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Data. Show all posts
Saturday, 14 February 2026
Thursday, 12 February 2026
Investing Updates: CNA Explains: What's driving Singapore's exceptional economic growth, and can it last?
Source:
ChatGPT:
Singapore’s economy has recorded exceptional growth for two consecutive years, expanding 5.3 per cent in 2024 and 5 per cent in 2025 — the first time since 2010 and 2011 that it has sustained above 5 per cent growth for two straight years. This performance exceeded earlier government forecasts, prompting the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) to upgrade projections twice in 2025. For 2026, growth is now expected at 2 to 4 per cent.
The strong expansion was driven primarily by manufacturing, wholesale trade, and finance and insurance. In particular, surging global demand for artificial intelligence (AI)-related electronics significantly boosted the electronics and machinery segments. Pharmaceuticals also outperformed expectations due to high-value production, while construction remained resilient with strong project pipelines. Economists highlighted broad-based growth supported by robust foreign direct investment, safe-haven capital inflows, and accommodative financial conditions.
Singapore also benefited from relatively lower US tariffs compared to regional peers, as semiconductors and pharmaceuticals were largely exempt. Additionally, global firms front-loaded production and exports ahead of tariff hikes, further lifting activity.
Economists described the growth as unusual for a mature, developed economy, especially since it was not driven by recovery from a crisis. Similar AI-driven gains were seen in Taiwan, Malaysia, Vietnam and Indonesia, reflecting a wider regional electronics boom.
However, sustaining 5 per cent growth may be difficult due to a high base effect, external risks, softer labour market conditions and moderating momentum in late 2025. While analysts believe growth could exceed 3 per cent if Singapore successfully strengthens its position as an AI hub, matching the recent 5 per cent pace is considered unlikely. Nonetheless, officials remain optimistic that AI will remain a key long-term growth pillar.
Comments:
Singapore is conservative? It's in our roots π
I'm more concerned about the upcoming and future TFR data. Imo, it has a deep impact on future generations and society norms.
Monday, 2 February 2026
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (January Jobs Report, Earnings from GOOG, AMZN, PLTR and AMD)
Source:
ChatGPT:
What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Jan Jobs Report & Key Earnings)
Markets head into the week with heightened sensitivity to U.S. labour data, Federal Reserve leadership signals, and heavyweight earnings. The January nonfarm payrolls report on Friday will be the key macro test, especially following the nomination of former Fed governor Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair. Investors will closely watch whether weaker employment data prompts a more cautious tone or reinforces confidence that the labour market remains resilient.
Economic data flow begins Monday with the ISM Manufacturing PMI, expected to show modest improvement in demand but still constrained by softer inventories and uneven employment trends. Tuesday’s JOLTS report may send mixed signals, with online postings improving but surveys pointing to more cautious hiring intentions. On Wednesday, ADP employment and the ISM Services PMI will further shape expectations for labour market momentum, with services activity likely cooling but staying in expansion. Friday’s payrolls report will also include a one-time re-benchmarking of household survey data, which may lower headline employment levels without materially affecting the unemployment rate, forecast at 4.4%.
Earnings take centre stage alongside macro data. Palantir’s results will spotlight the sustainability of its rapid commercial growth amid intensifying AI competition. AMD is expected to benefit from strong AI demand, though near-term guidance may be tempered by seasonality. Alphabet’s earnings will focus on Gemini-driven ad growth, cloud demand, and a sharp rise in capital expenditures tied to AI infrastructure. Amazon’s report will draw attention to advertising and AWS growth, as well as scrutiny over a potential, very large OpenAI investment. Other notable reporters include Qualcomm, Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, Uber, and Disney.
Market sentiment remains fragile after recent declines across risk assets. Equities, crypto, and precious metals sold off sharply following Warsh’s nomination, with the S&P 500 retreating after briefly breaking above 7,000 and Bitcoin falling below US$80,000. Investors will look to this week’s data and earnings for clarity on growth, policy direction, and the sustainability of heavy AI spending across corporate America.
Monday, 12 January 2026
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (CPI, Earnings Season Kicks Off)
Source:
https://www.moomoo.com/news/post/63865477/what-to-expect-in-the-week-ahead-cpi-earnings-season?level=1&data_ticket=1766969945699374
ChatGPT:
This week’s markets are poised for volatility as the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and the start of the fourth-quarter earnings season take center stage. Tuesday’s CPI release is the marquee macro event and will be closely watched for clues on inflation’s direction and its implications for the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook in 2026. A cooler or hotter print than expected could meaningfully shift rate and equity expectations. (XT)
The earnings calendar begins in earnest with major U.S. banks reporting early results. On Tuesday before the bell, JPMorgan Chase and Delta Air Lines are due to report, with analysts anticipating year-over-year revenue and earnings growth for both. (Options Desk) Wednesday brings results from Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup, all expected to show double-digit EPS growth, offering early insights into financial sector health. (Options Desk) On Thursday, Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)—a key supplier to Nvidia and Apple—reports before the open, followed by Goldman Sachs and BlackRock, whose performance will help set the tone for broader tech and asset-management sentiment. (Options Desk)
Alongside earnings, other economic data include the Producer Price Index (PPI) and U.S. Retail Sales on Wednesday, and Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday, each adding context to economic momentum and inflation trends. (Options Desk)
Equity markets enter this busy week having rallied recently, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 up over 1% last week and the Dow rising more than 2%, while active trade includes names like Nvidia, Intel, Apple, Amazon, and Palantir. Momentum in tech and defense software has been a notable driver of recent performance. (scanx.trade)
In summary, inflation data and earnings—particularly from banks and chipmakers—will be pivotal in shaping investor expectations and market direction in the early 2026 trading environment.
Comments:
Start of Earnings Season.
Let's go Bull π
Monday, 5 January 2026
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead(Nonfarm Payrolls, Earnings from APLD)
Source:
ChatGPT:
U.S. markets enter the first full trading week of 2026 facing a heavy slate of economic data and select corporate earnings, with the December nonfarm payrolls report on Friday expected to be the key driver of sentiment. Investors are watching closely for signals on whether the labour market is cooling enough to influence the Federal Reserve’s policy path.
The week begins on Monday with the ISM Manufacturing PMI. While manufacturing activity is still expected to remain in contraction territory below the 50 mark, the December reading may show modest improvement. Mixed regional Federal Reserve surveys suggest uneven demand, but better employment trends and slower supplier delivery times could offer some support.
Tuesday is quiet on the data front, before attention turns to Wednesday’s releases. Applied Digital (APLD) will report second-quarter earnings after the market close. The company recently announced plans to spin out its cloud business and pursue a business combination with EKSO to launch ChronoScale, developments that have put the stock firmly on investors’ radar. On the macro side, the ISM Services PMI is expected to edge lower in December, reflecting softer demand, though employment strength may limit the decline. The November JOLTS report is forecast to show job openings ticking up slightly to around 7.7 million, indicating labour demand remains relatively stable.
Thursday brings initial jobless claims, which are expected to rebound modestly after dipping below 200,000 during the Christmas week due to seasonal distortions.
Friday’s employment report will be the main event. Economists expect nonfarm payrolls to rise by about 57,000 jobs in December, down from November’s 64,000, while the unemployment rate is seen edging down to 4.5%.
Last week, U.S. equities ended lower, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both falling more than 1 per cent. Tesla slid sharply after weak delivery figures, Sidus Space surged on a major defence contract, and Intel rallied on optimism around new server and processor technologies.
Comments:
Fresh year. Fresh Start.
Fresh Venezuela War? π
Staying calm and DCA as usual.
Friday, 2 January 2026
Data Updates: Singapore's economy grows 5.7% in Q4 2025, beating forecasts
Source:
ChatGPT:
Singapore’s economy expanded by a robust 5.7 per cent year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2025, beating market expectations and marking its fastest quarterly growth for the year, according to advance estimates released by the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) on Jan 2. This was also stronger than the 5.0 per cent growth recorded in the same period a year earlier. For the full year, gross domestic product grew by 4.8 per cent, exceeding both the 4.4 per cent expansion in 2024 and the official forecast of “around 4 per cent” that had been upgraded in November.
Prime Minister Lawrence Wong had earlier disclosed the full-year growth figure in his New Year’s Day message, describing the performance as “stronger-than-expected growth”. However, he cautioned that maintaining such momentum would be difficult, citing persistent global challenges including fractured trade relations and geopolitical tensions that are likely to remain long-term features of the global landscape.
Looking ahead, MTI expects Singapore’s economy to grow between one and three per cent in 2026. The ministry warned that slowing growth in major economies could moderate export demand across Southeast Asia, posing headwinds for trade-dependent economies like Singapore.
The manufacturing sector was a key driver of the strong fourth-quarter performance, surging 15 per cent year-on-year, a sharp acceleration from the 4.9 per cent growth recorded in the previous quarter. This was largely driven by significant output expansions in the biomedical manufacturing and electronics clusters. Pharmaceutical production underpinned biomedical growth, while electronics benefited from sustained global demand for AI-related semiconductors, servers and related equipment.
The construction sector also expanded, growing 4.2 per cent year-on-year in the fourth quarter, though this represented a moderation from the 5.1 per cent growth seen previously. Meanwhile, all services-producing sectors recorded growth, with wholesale trade supported by strong sales of electronic components, telecommunications equipment and computer hardware amid the ongoing artificial intelligence boom.
Comments:
Huat Huat Singapore!
Monday, 29 December 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (FOMC Minutes, New Year's Day and Warren Buffett's Exit)
Source:
ChatGPT:
U.S. markets head into the final days of 2025 on a strong footing, with the S&P 500 on track for an eighth straight monthly gain, its longest streak since 2017–2018. While technology stocks powered much of the multi-year rally, recent performance suggests a rotation toward financials, healthcare, transports and small caps. Trading conditions may be thin as markets close for New Year’s Day and investors digest delayed economic releases following the earlier federal shutdown.
The key macro event this week is the release of the Federal Reserve’s minutes from its December 9–10 meeting. At that meeting, the Fed delivered a third consecutive 25-basis-point rate cut, bringing the policy rate to 3.50%–3.75%. Policymakers modestly upgraded growth forecasts while trimming inflation expectations, reinforcing expectations of a gradual easing cycle. Markets will scrutinise the minutes for clues on the pace of future cuts, especially ahead of President Trump’s nomination of a new Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell.
Economic data highlights include U.S. pending home sales for November, jobless claims, mortgage rate updates, and the final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI. Housing data has been relatively resilient, helped by improving affordability and easing recession fears, while labour market indicators point to a gradual cooling rather than a sharp slowdown. Manufacturing activity, however, has softened, signalling slower momentum heading into 2026.
Beyond macro data, a major corporate milestone looms: Warren Buffett is set to step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, with Greg Abel taking over leadership. Meanwhile, attention remains on heavily traded stocks such as Nvidia, Tesla and Apple, as well as Rocket Lab, which has seen sharp post-holiday volatility following recent contract wins and record highs.
Tuesday, 23 December 2025
LifeStyle Updates: Singapore’s core, headline inflation hold steady at 1.2% in November
Source:
ChatGPT:
Singapore’s core and headline inflation remained unchanged at 1.2% year on year in November, according to the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI). Both readings came in slightly below market expectations of 1.3%, reinforcing signs that inflation pressures remain contained.
Core inflation, which excludes accommodation and private transport, was steady as higher services inflation was offset by weaker retail and other goods prices, alongside a sharper fall in electricity and gas costs. On a month-on-month basis, core prices edged down 0.1%, while the all-items consumer price index rose 0.2%.
Headline inflation also held at 1.2%, reflecting unchanged accommodation and core inflation. Accommodation costs continued to rise modestly at 0.3%, in line with stable rental growth. Food inflation was unchanged at 1.2%, as prices for both cooked and non-cooked food rose at the same pace as in October.
Across CPI categories, price movements were mixed. Private transport inflation eased to 3.5%, down from 3.8%, due to a smaller increase in car prices. Retail and other goods inflation dipped to 0.3% as clothing, footwear and personal care appliance prices fell. Electricity and gas prices declined more sharply by 4.1%, reflecting lower electricity costs.
The main upward pressure came from services inflation, which rose to 1.9% from 1.8% in October, driven by higher costs for point-to-point transport services and health insurance.
MAS and MTI maintained their full-year 2025 forecasts, projecting core inflation at 0.5% and headline inflation at 0.5% to 1%. Forecasts for 2026 were also unchanged at 0.5% to 1.5% for both measures. Authorities highlighted ongoing uncertainties, noting that while imported cost pressures are easing, supply shocks or weaker global demand could alter the inflation outlook.
Monday, 22 December 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Christmas Holiday, Q3 GDP Growth and CB Consumer Confidence)
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ChatGPT:
U.S. markets head into Christmas week on a relatively calm note, following a volatile but ultimately steady stretch in equities. Stocks rose on Friday, supported by gains in Oracle as enthusiasm around artificial intelligence rebounded after recent turbulence. With the Q3 earnings season concluded and the holiday period beginning, trading activity is expected to be lighter, while attention shifts toward macroeconomic signals and longer-term policy considerations, including speculation around the next Federal Reserve chair.
Christmas week is typically quiet for U.S. markets. Stock exchanges will close early on December 24 and remain shut on December 25. The key economic focus falls on Tuesday, December 23, when several important data releases are scheduled. These include durable goods orders, the second estimate of third-quarter GDP growth, and the Conference Board’s consumer confidence reading. Economists expect the GDP revision to confirm a solid 3.2% annualized expansion in Q3, reinforcing the view that the U.S. economy remains resilient. Durable goods orders for October are forecast to rise 0.4%, offering insight into business investment trends, while consumer confidence will shed light on household sentiment heading into year-end.
Market performance last week was largely mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.67%, while the S&P 500 edged up 0.1% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.48%. Trading activity was concentrated in well-known names such as Nvidia, Tesla, Oracle, Broadcom, Palantir, Micron Technology, Nike, and Rocket Lab.
Among notable movers, Rocket Lab surged nearly 15% after securing its largest contract to date, potentially worth $805 million, boosting optimism around its growth prospects. Micron jumped over 10% on strong revenue guidance, easing concerns about AI-related volatility. In contrast, Nike was one of the week’s worst performers, plunging nearly 13% amid weaker China sales and margin pressure from higher tariffs.
Monday, 8 December 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from Oracle, Broadcom and Adobe; FOMC Rate Decision)
Source:
ChatGPT:
The upcoming week is dominated by the Federal Reserve, with Wednesday’s FOMC rate decision taking center stage as markets gauge the next phase of U.S. monetary policy. U.S. equities ended last week higher, supported by resilient large-cap tech and optimism around potential rate cuts, despite mixed labor signals.
A dense lineup of corporate earnings accompanies the macro focus. Key reporters include Oracle, Adobe, Broadcom, Costco, Lululemon, AutoZone, GameStop, AeroVironment, Chewy, Synopsys, and Ciena — offering insights across cloud computing, AI hardware, retail demand, and semiconductor design cycles.
Tuesday features earnings from AutoZone, GameStop, and AeroVironment, shedding light on consumer auto trends, meme-stock retail strategy, and defense-drone momentum. Macro releases include the NFIB Business Optimism Index and the long-delayed JOLTS report, both influential for rate expectations.
Wednesday is the biggest inflection point. Chewy, Oracle, Adobe, and Synopsys headline earnings with heavy emphasis on cloud adoption, AI-driven software, and chip-design demand. Macro catalysts include the Employment Cost Index, the federal budget statement, and most importantly, the FOMC decision (forecast: 3.75%) followed by Chair Powell’s press conference. Markets are primed for volatility, with any dovish signal likely to lift growth and tech sectors.
Thursday brings results from Ciena, Broadcom, Costco, and Lululemon. These will highlight trends in 5G infrastructure, AI accelerators, retail resilience, and global athleisure demand. Jobless claims and the U.S. trade deficit arrive the same morning, providing further context for labor tightness and currency pressures.
Friday lacks major earnings but includes speeches from Fed regional presidents and wholesale inventory data, rounding out a macro-heavy week.
Last week’s market heat list saw strong gains from CoreWeave and Oracle, while Netflix slid on acquisition concerns, underscoring shifting sentiment across tech leaders.
Monday, 1 December 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from Marvell and Salesforce; ADP, Core PCE and Initial Jobless Claims)
Source:
ChatGPT:
This week’s U.S. market outlook is driven by key economic data and major corporate earnings, as investors evaluate the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December. With October CPI and GDP data unavailable due to the government shutdown, markets will lean heavily on ISM manufacturing and services surveys, ADP private-sector payrolls, and the September Core PCE report to gauge inflation and labor-market strength. These indicators will shape expectations around how tariffs and softer economic conditions may influence Fed policy.
Corporate earnings will also be in focus, especially from cloud software, cybersecurity, semiconductors, and retail. MongoDB and Credo Technology kick off the week on Monday, offering insights into AI-driven database adoption and demand for 5G/AI networking modules. On Tuesday, CrowdStrike and Marvell Technology report post-market, with investors watching cybersecurity spending trends and AI server interconnect demand.
Mid-week, Macy’s, Salesforce, and Snowflake will provide signals on consumer resilience, enterprise software momentum, and cloud data-platform growth. Salesforce’s Copilot AI rollout, Snowflake’s lakehouse adoption, and Macy’s holiday-season margins will be key highlights.
Economic data intensifies from Wednesday to Friday with ADP employment, Services PMI, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, weekly jobless claims, and the closely watched Core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
Last week, U.S. equities rallied strongly: the Dow rose 3.18%, the S&P 500 gained 3.73%, and the Nasdaq climbed 4.91%. Active names included NVIDIA, Tesla, Intel, Meta, Alphabet, AMD, Oracle, SoFi, and Coinbase. Intel jumped over 10% after reports it may supply entry-level M-series chips for Apple by 2027, while Alphabet rose nearly 7% on optimism around Gemini 3 and reports of Meta considering large TPU purchases. SoFi surged 17% after launching in-app crypto trading.
Opinion:
It's the most wonderful time of the year.....
Year-end bull let's go... π
Monday, 24 November 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from Zoom, Alibaba,Nio and Dell)
Source:
ChatGPT:
The week ahead features a dense lineup of major earnings and key macro data, with markets still navigating elevated volatility. All three major U.S. indices remain negative for November, and the sudden cancellation of October CPI and GDP reports—due to the recent government shutdown—has left traders unusually “data-blind.” As a result, markets will rely heavily on PPI, PCE, jobless claims, retail sales, and high-frequency indicators to assess inflation and growth momentum.
Several high-profile companies are set to report. On Monday, Zoom will release Q3 FY2026 numbers, with expectations for modest revenue growth and steady margins as AI features and enterprise clients become increasingly important. Symbotic will also report, and investors will watch for new automation contracts and margin guidance.
Tuesday brings earnings from Alibaba, NIO, and Pony.ai. Alibaba is under scrutiny for cloud growth, international commerce, and capital spending, while NIO faces pressure to clarify delivery trends, profitability plans, and pricing strategy amid China’s EV price war. Pony.ai is expected to update its robotaxi commercialisation progress. After the close, Dell, Zscaler, and HP Inc. will report, providing insight into AI server demand, cybersecurity budgets, and corporate hardware spending.
On Wednesday, Deere and Li Auto report, serving as indicators of global industrial capex and China’s EV competitiveness. Key data releases include durable goods orders, the PCE inflation index, and FOMC minutes, which may offer clues on potential December rate cuts.
Markets closed last week lower, with notable stock moves: Alphabet surged on its Gemini 3 AI release, while Nvidia, AMD, and Circle fell on profit-taking, valuation concerns, and interest-rate sensitivity despite strong underlying fundamentals.
Monday, 17 November 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from NVIDIA, Walmart, Webull and Baidu)
Source:
ChatGPT:
This week’s market outlook centers on key earnings releases and delayed U.S. macro data following the end of the government shutdown. Despite the reopening, October’s jobs and CPI reports may still be postponed, keeping rate-cut expectations volatile. All three major U.S. indexes remain negative for November, and traders will watch the FOMC meeting minutes for clues on monetary policy.
A packed earnings lineup features NVIDIA, Walmart, Baidu, PDD Holdings, XPeng, Trip.com, Target, Lowe’s, TJX, Palo Alto Networks, Intuit, Webull, Copart, and Veeva Systems.
On Monday, XPeng is expected to nearly double Q3 revenue to US$2.87 billion, with sharply narrowed losses as analysts focus on its robot and robotaxi development.
On Tuesday, Baidu’s unveiling of ERNIE 5.0 shows competitiveness with top global AI models. PDD Holdings is projected to report 9.44% revenue growth, though investors remain focused on Temu’s international momentum.
Wednesday is the highlight: NVIDIA is predicted to post US$54.95 billion in Q3 revenue (+57% YoY), with strong data-center demand potentially driving FY2027 revenue above US$314 billion. Target, Lowe’s, and TJX also report, with mixed growth expectations.
On Thursday, Walmart is forecast to deliver US$175.1 billion in revenue (+4.25% YoY) as long-time CEO Doug McMillon prepares to step down. Webull is projected to generate US$137 million in Q3 revenue and has announced a new partnership with Meritz Financial Group for South Korean market expansion.
Friday brings the U.S. Manufacturing PMI, a key indicator of economic momentum.
In the market heat list, major movers include NVIDIA, Tesla, Circle, and CoreWeave. Notably, CoreWeave plunged over 25% after lowering its 2025 outlook, while Circle fell despite strong results and record USDC circulation.
Opinion:
U.S. market seems to be getting real volatile these days. Nivida earnings is main event this week.
We're nearing the holidays season. Saving some cash to enjoy life itself overseas.
If there's a constant of 5% drops, I think it would be wise to put in market to add to long term holdings π
Sunday, 9 November 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from CRWV, NBIS, DIS and CRCL)
Source:
ChatGPT:
The week ahead features a mix of key corporate earnings and potential market uncertainty as the U.S. earnings season nears its close. Market volatility has begun to surface, and if the U.S. government shutdown persists, the October CPI, Retail Sales and PPI reports may be delayed.
Major earnings come from CoreWeave, Nebius, Applied Materials, Sea, Disney, Circle, Cisco, Oklo, JD.com and Quantum Computing.
Monday (Nov 10):
CoreWeave is expected to post record revenue of $1.29B, more than double year-on-year, supported by strong AI infrastructure demand. Citi cautions that rising capacity investments could pressure 2025 profits, though margins may improve from FY2026.
Tuesday (Nov 11):
Nebius reports early, following a surge in September after striking a $19.4B AI cloud deal with Microsoft. Sea’s Shopee is set for a sixfold jump in adjusted EBITDA, driven by higher take rates, stronger logistics and ad monetization. Sea’s fintech revenue may rise 56% due to profitable loan growth. Oklo remains pre-revenue, but institutional ownership has grown sharply. NFIB Small Business Optimism data is due.
Wednesday (Nov 12):
Circle’s Q3 results should benefit from growing USDC circulation, which rose from $61.3B to $65.2B through August. Cisco may exceed its FY26 revenue targets on AI server demand and is expected to post 8% profit growth. No key data releases.
Thursday (Nov 13):
Disney’s theme parks remain resilient, but streaming performance, ESPN platform traction and YouTube TV distribution disputes will be closely watched. Applied Materials expects weaker results due to China demand softness.
Friday (Nov 14):
Quantum Computing reports Q3 results, with investors watching revenue traction versus ongoing losses.
U.S. indices ended last week lower, led by tech weakness amid valuation concerns, while hedge funds placed large bearish options on AI stocks.
Monday, 27 October 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from Apple, Google; the Fed Rate Cut, and Trump-Xi Ahead)
Source:
ChatGPT:
The coming week marks a pivotal stretch for markets as both earnings season and major policy events converge. U.S. stocks are at record highs with tech giants—Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Google, and Amazon—set to report results.
Alphabet ($GOOGL) reports Oct. 29, with consensus expecting Q3 EPS up 8% to $2.28 and revenue up 13% to nearly $100 billion, possibly topping that mark for the first time. Microsoft ($MSFT) posts Wednesday, with EPS seen up 11% to $3.66 on $75.4 billion revenue, driven by Azure growth of 38% and Copilot AI momentum. Meta ($META) reports the same day, with EPS forecast at $6.69, up 11%, and revenue up 22% to $49.4 billion—boosted by ad strength at Facebook and Instagram.
Apple ($AAPL) reports Thursday, with EPS expected at $1.77, up 8%, and revenue up 7.5% to $102 billion, reflecting early iPhone 17 sales. Amazon ($AMZN) also reports Thursday, projected EPS up 10% to $1.57 and revenue up 12% to $177.85 billion, with AWS growth (18%) and tariff impacts under scrutiny.
On the macro front, the Federal Reserve is widely expected to cut rates by 0.25% on Wednesday and possibly end quantitative tightening, reinforcing bond market optimism. Chair Jerome Powell’s comments will guide expectations for a potential December cut.
Geopolitically, focus turns to the Oct. 31–Nov. 1 Trump–Xi meeting at APEC in South Korea. Investors hope for progress that could delay Trump’s planned 100% tariff on Chinese goods amid ongoing U.S.–China trade talks in Malaysia.
Opinion:
Feels a little too bullish these days.
Parking some cash for the holidays season and "crash" π
Monday, 20 October 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from Tesla and Netflix; CPI data)
Source:
ChatGPT:
The upcoming week will be eventful for markets, with major earnings and key economic data in focus. Tesla, Netflix, General Motors, and Intel headline the corporate earnings lineup. Automakers are expected to report record September EV sales as buyers rushed to benefit from soon-to-expire tax incentives.
General Motors (GM) reports Tuesday and may announce a U.S.-centric supply chain strategy to offset $4–$5 billion in trade-related costs amid U.S. policy shifts. Netflix (NFLX) also reports Tuesday, with revenue projected to surge 17% — its fastest since 2021 — driven by increased engagement, subscriber growth, and higher average revenue per user. Analysts suggest Netflix may lift 2025 guidance thanks to margin improvements.
Tesla (TSLA) will release results Wednesday, with analysts anticipating a strong beat following record deliveries before certain EV tax credits expired. The focus will be on demand for its new lower-priced models, potential supply chain issues tied to China’s rare-earth policies, and updates on its AI and self-driving software developments. Intel (INTC)reports Thursday, with UBS expecting steady PC and server market gains to support a slight upside in fourth-quarter guidance. Investors will also monitor any partnership updates following recent industry investments by Nvidia and SoftBank.
On the macro front, investors await Friday’s U.S. September CPI report, crucial for confirming whether the Federal Reserve will proceed with a likely 25-basis-point rate cut at its October 28–29 meeting. Consensus forecasts show headline CPI rising to 3.1% year-over-year, up from August’s 2.9%, with core CPI steady at 3.1%. Persistent inflation could test market optimism despite expectations of policy easing.
Wednesday, 15 October 2025
Investing Updates: Singapore keeps monetary policy settings unchanged in October, for second straight quarter
Source:
ChatGPT:
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) kept its monetary policy settings unchanged for the second consecutive quarter at its October 2025 review, maintaining the current rate of appreciation of the Singapore dollar nominal effective exchange rate (S$NEER) policy band, along with its width and centre. The decision, widely expected by economists, reflects MAS’s confidence in the economy’s resilience amid moderating inflation and global uncertainty.
MAS also lowered its 2025 inflation forecasts, projecting core inflation at around 0.5% and headline inflation between 0.5% and 1.0%, down from the previous 0.5%–1.5% range. The central bank expects core inflation to bottom out soon and rise gradually in 2026 as temporary disinflationary factors fade.
The policy statement struck a more optimistic tone than July’s, noting that while growth will moderate, “the extent of the downturn should be contained.” Economists such as Maybank’s Chua Hak Bin and UOB’s Jester Koh said MAS’s language suggests confidence in maintaining stability and conserving policy space for potential action in 2026.
Recent data supports this optimism. Core inflation eased to 0.3% in August, while headline inflation dipped to 0.5%. Meanwhile, Singapore’s Q3 GDP grew 2.9% year on year, surpassing forecasts despite trade headwinds. MAS said the output gap remains positive, indicating above-trend growth for now, though it expects a return to near-trend pace in 2026.
Easing global import costs, improved productivity, and government subsidies have helped cool price pressures. MAS reaffirmed it remains “in an appropriate position to respond effectively” to any risks to medium-term price stability, signaling a steady stance heading into 2026.
Opinion:
Pray that economic mixed rice prices stay the same!
Investing Updates: Singapore economy beats forecasts with 2.9% growth in third quarter despite US tariffs
Source:
ChatGPT:
Singapore’s economy expanded 2.9% year on year in Q3 2025, outperforming economists’ forecasts of 2%, despite global trade tensions and new US tariffs. The Ministry of Trade and Industry (MTI) said the stronger-than-expected performance reflected resilience in construction, services, and domestic consumption, even as manufacturing growth stalled. Quarter-on-quarter, manufacturing rose 6.1%, rebounding from a 0.7% contraction, while construction grew 3.1%, supported by both public and private projects. Services industries expanded 3.5%, led by finance, ICT, and professional services.
Analysts attributed the growth to fiscal stimulus, falling interest rates, and AI-driven demand in tech exports, which offset external headwinds. Maybank and Goldman Sachs raised their 2025 GDP forecasts to 3.5% and 3.6%respectively, while RHB lifted its estimate to 3%, citing resilient domestic demand. However, economists warned that growth momentum may ease in Q4 as front-loading of US-bound exports fades and uncertainty persists over possible tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals, which make up nearly a third of Singapore’s US exports.
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) noted that the economy grew 3.9% in the first three quarters of 2025, but expects moderation ahead as trade activity normalises. It added that AI-related investments, particularly in memory chips and servers, should support manufacturing for the rest of the year. Retail spending remains stable, though benefits from SG60 vouchers are set to taper. Overall, while Singapore’s near-term outlook remains cautiously positive, external risks and tariff uncertainties could weigh on exports and investments heading into 2026.
Opinion:
Nice figures.
Hopefully, the job economy gets better.
Sunday, 12 October 2025
Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from big banks; Powell Speech and Inflation Data)
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The week ahead features key U.S. bank earnings, major macro events, and critical inflation indicators. Earnings season resumes in full with big banks leading. On Tuesday (Oct 14), JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, and BlackRock open the season. Investors will watch whether trading and dealmaking activity stayed strong, how banks manage consumer credit quality, and updates on capital returns and Citi’s Banamex divestment.
Wednesday (Oct 15) sees results from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and ASML. BofA’s net interest income and cost control are in focus, while Morgan Stanley may benefit from revived M&A and IPO activity and lower capital requirements. United Airlines will highlight travel demand trends amid yield and fuel cost pressures.
On Thursday (Oct 16), Charles Schwab and CSX Corp report. Schwab’s trading activity, client inflows, and resilience in net interest income will show how well it is navigating higher rates. CSX’s update under new CEO Steve Angel will be watched for strategy amid ongoing rail consolidation.
Friday (Oct 17) features American Express, where sustained spending could support the upper end of its 8–10% annual revenue growth target. Analysts will monitor travel recovery, credit trends, and marketing spend flexibility.
Macro focus shifts to the IMF–World Bank meetings (Oct 13–18), a busy lineup of central bank speeches, and Fed Chair Powell’s Oct 14 address. A U.S. government shutdown delays key releases like CPI (to Oct 24), spotlighting softer data such as NFIB optimism, Empire Manufacturing, and the Beige Book. Bloomberg Economics projects muted job growth and easing inflation pressures, supporting expectations of a Fed rate cut by late October and a shift toward cyclical sectors.
Tuesday, 7 October 2025
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