Investing Updates : Lululemon, Dollar Tree, Inflation, Home Prices, and More to Watch This Week

Source : 

https://ttm.financial/news/2521020020?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental

Apple Intelligence : 

• Key Economic Indicator: February’s core personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, is expected to rise by 2.7% year over year.

• Earnings Reports: GameStop, Dollar Tree, and Lululemon Athletica will release their earnings reports.

• Other Economic Releases: S&P Global’s purchasing managers’ indexes for March, a consumer sentiment survey from the Conference Board, and the durable goods report from the Census Bureau will be released.

• Economic Indicators: The Census Bureau will release new residential sales data and the durable goods report. The Conference Board will release the Consumer Confidence Index.

• Earnings Reports: Chewy, Cintas, Dollar Tree, Jefferies Financial Group, Paychex, and Lululemon will announce quarterly results.

• GDP and Inflation: The Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final estimate of fourth-quarter GDP growth and the personal consumption expenditures price index.

LifeStyle Updates : Singapore slips in world happiness ranking, gets knocked off top spot in Asia

Source : 

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/world-happiness-report-ranking-2024-asia-5014671

Apple Intelligence : 

• Singapore’s Happiness Ranking: Singapore dropped four places to 34th in the World Happiness Report 2024, its lowest ranking since 2012.

• Factors Contributing to Happiness: The report considers social support, GDP per capita, healthy life expectancy, freedom, generosity, and perception of corruption.

• Top-Ranked Countries: Nordic countries, led by Finland for the eighth consecutive year, dominated the top spots.

• Top Ranked Countries: Nordic countries dominated the top spots, with Finland in first place for the eighth consecutive year.

• Southeast Asian Rankings: Thailand (49th), Philippines (57th), Malaysia (64th), and Indonesia (83rd) were among the Southeast Asian nations.

• Factors Contributing to Happiness: Sharing meals, trusting others, and benevolent acts are linked to well-being, while family bonds and social support also play a role.

• Global Youth Social Disconnection: 19% of youths globally reported lacking social support in 2023, a 39% increase from 2006.

• Singapore’s Happiness Ranking: Singapore ranked low in perceived social support and freedom, impacting its overall happiness ranking.

• Impact of Social Connections on Happiness: Strong social connections are crucial for happiness, especially for youths, as they influence mental well-being and reduce susceptibility to mental health issues.

• Non-economic Factors for Improvement: Work-life balance and community support.

• Kindness and Happiness Correlation: Pro-social behaviors like donating, volunteering, and helping others improve mental health, reduce anxiety, and increase life satisfaction.

• Positive Impact of Pro-social Acts: Contributes to one’s own satisfaction and happiness.

Investing Updates : Fear or Greed? Decoding S&P 500 Corrections: 61% Rebound Chance Since 1929

Source : 

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/fear-or-greed-decoding-s-p-500-corrections-61-rebound-114188746031110

Apple Intelligence :

• Market Correction: The S&P 500 experienced a 10.1% correction, erasing gains from the “Trump rally” and reflecting concerns over tariffs, stagflation, and supply chain issues.

• Historical Rebound Probability: Since 1929, the S&P 500 has a 61% chance of rebounding after a correction, with an average return of 18% in the subsequent 12 months.

• Recent Performance: The S&P 500 has shown resilience, with an average return of 18% in the 12 months following nine corrections since 2010, excluding the 2022 decline due to interest rate hikes.

• Market Downturn Triggers: Trade frictions escalating to systemic risks, like the 2000 dot-com bubble, can lead to prolonged downturns.

• Bearish Argument: Unpriced risks include tariff impact, stagflation concerns, and a tech stock retreat.

• Bullish Argument: Robust corporate earnings support market resilience.

• Investment Strategy: Gradual position building with 10%-15% cash reserve, increasing allocation to utilities and consumer staples, and reducing exposure to tech and industrial stocks.

• Hedging Recommendations: Consider gold ETFs or VIX call options to hedge against potential market downturns.

• Liquidity Support: Potential rate cuts and lower Treasury yields provide some support to the stock market.

• Investment Strategy: Long-term investment in S&P 500 put options (15% out-of-the-money) and defensive stocks.

• Defensive Stock Sectors: Consumer staples and healthcare.

• Short-Term Monitoring: Changes in White House tariff policies and CPI/PMI data to alleviate stagflation concerns.

Investing Updates : Fed Meeting; Retail Sales Data; Nvidia GTC 2025; Micron, Nike, and NIO Earnings: What to Watch This Week

Source : 

https://ttm.financial/news/2520588628?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental

Apple Intelligence : 

• Key Event: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will announce the monetary-policy decision and release the updated Summary of Economic Projections.

• Market Focus: The retail sales report on Monday and several data releases on the health of the housing market are highly anticipated.

• Earnings Reports: General Mills on Wednesday, FedEx and Nike on Thursday, and Carnival on Friday.

• Housing Market Sentiment: The National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for March, indicating homebuilder sentiment.

• Housing Construction: The Census Bureau reports new residential construction statistics for February, reflecting housing starts.

• Interest Rate Decision: The Federal Open Market Committee announces its monetary-policy decision, including potential interest rate changes.

Investing Updates : Oracle, Adobe, Li Auto, and Dollar General Earnings; US CPI: What to Know This Week

Source:

https://ttm.financial/news/2518280398?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental

Apple Intelligence:

• Economic Indicators: Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Core CPI are expected to rise on Wednesday.

• Earnings Reports: Oracle (Monday), Adobe (Wednesday), Dollar General, and Ulta Beauty (Thursday) are reporting earnings.

• Other Economic Data: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (Tuesday), Producer Price Index (Thursday), and University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (Friday) are released.

• Consumer Price Index (CPI) Release: The BLS releases the CPI for February, with expectations of a 2.9% year-over-year increase and a 3.2% rise in the core CPI.

• Producer Price Index (PPI) Release: The BLS releases the PPI for February, with forecasts of a 3.2% year-over-year increase and a 3.5% rise in the core PPI.

• Consumer Sentiment Index Release: The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment Index for March, with a consensus estimate of 63.9.

Investing Updates : Here's the Breakdown for US February Nonfarm Payrolls, in One Chart

Source:

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/114121475358725?global_content=%7B%22promote_content%22%3A%22mm%3Afeed%3A114121475358725%22%2C%22invite%22%3A103096561%7D&is_recommendation=0&is_recommend_pos=0&futusource=news_headline_list

Apple Intelligence:

• Job Market Performance: The US economy added 151,000 jobs in February 2025, with significant gains in healthcare, financial activities, transportation, and social assistance.

• Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate rose to 4.1% in February 2025, slightly exceeding market expectations.

• Sectoral Trends: Healthcare saw substantial job growth, while retail experienced a decline, and other sectors showed minimal changes.

LifeStyle Updates : 2024 Dragon Year failed to boost S’pore’s total fertility rate, which remains at a low of 0.97

Source:

https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/politics/2024-dragon-year-failed-to-boost-spores-total-fertility-rate-which-remains-at-a-low-of-0-97

Apple Intelligence:

• Singapore’s TFR: Remained low at 0.97 in 2024, unchanged from 2023.

• Impact of Low Fertility Rate: Significant implications for Singapore’s economy and society, including slower workforce growth and challenges in supporting an aging population.

• Dragon Year Effect: Diminishing over the years, reflecting generational shifts in attitudes and priorities among young couples.

• Singapore’s TFR: Singapore’s TFR dropped to a record low of 0.97 in 2023, below the replacement rate of 2.1.

• Dragon Year Impact: Singapore’s TFR rose in the past three Dragon years, but the impact is not guaranteed.

• Government Initiatives: The Singaporean government has implemented measures to promote marriage and parenthood, such as shared parental leave.

• Government’s Goal: Encourage couples to have more children.

• Reason for Low Birth Rate: Couples worry about having less time for each child and higher expenses.

• Existing Support Measures: Families receive more Baby Bonus Scheme and parenthood tax rebate for each subsequent child.

• Financial Benefits for Larger Families: Families with three or more children will receive increased grants for child development, healthcare, and household expenses.

• Increased MediSave Grant: The Large Family MediSave Grant will be increased to $5,000, up from the current $4,000, to offset pregnancy and medical expenses.

• Societal Support for Larger Families: Over 30 companies will offer deals and discounts to families with three or more children.

• Family-Friendly Policies: Discounts for larger vehicles, value bundles for groceries, and a call for a shift in mindset and culture to foster a family-friendly workplace.

• Childcare Leave: Six days of paid childcare leave per year for each working parent with a child under seven years old, and 12 days of unpaid infant care leave per parent per year in the child’s first two years of life.

• Immigration Benefits: Immigrants help to moderate the impact of Singapore’s low birth rate and ageing population.

• Immigration Trend: The average number of new citizenships and PRs granted in the past five years is slightly higher than the preceding five years.

• Transnational Marriages: Over a third of citizen marriages in the past decade involved a Singaporean and a foreigner.

• Immigration Policy: The government will continue to carefully manage the pace of immigration, considering factors like the falling Total Fertility Rate (TFR).

Investing Updates : Here's the Breakdown for January CPI, in One Chart

Source:

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/here-s-the-breakdown-for-january-cpi-in-one-chart-113991310704645

Apple Intelligence:

• Inflation Rate: The annual inflation rate in the US increased to 3% in January 2025.
• Food Costs: Food costs rose by 2.5% YoY, consistent with the previous month’s data.
• Energy Costs: Energy costs increased by 1.0% YoY, after a 0.5% decrease in December.

Opinion:

Everyone thinks trump's policies will increase inflation even further 😅

More positive data is now required to boost market sentiment. End of wars might do it too.

Volatile times ahead.

Investing Updates : What to Expect in the Week Ahead (COIN, APP, SMCI Earnings; US January CPI)

Source:

https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/what-to-expect-in-the-week-ahead-coin-app-smci-113978437927718?global_content=%7B%22promote_content%22%3A%22mm%3Afeed%3A113978437927718%22%2C%22invite%22%3A103096561%7D&is_recommendation=0&is_recommend_pos=0&futusource=news_headline_list

Apple Intelligence:

• Earnings Release Date: Coinbase will announce its Q4 2024 financial results on February 13, 2025, after the market closes.
• Revenue and EPS Projections: $1.75 billion in revenue (83.80% year-over-year increase) and an EPS of $1.90 (82.82% year-over-year increase).
• Key Highlights: Strong double-digit growth in transaction revenue and subscription & services.

• SMCI Earnings Release: SMCI will release its fiscal Q2 2025 update on February 11, after the market close.
• SMCI Earnings Forecast: Analysts expect SMCI to report revenue of $5.78 billion, a 57.60% increase, and an EPS of $0.53, up 4.71%.
• Applovin Earnings Release: Applovin will release its Q4 financial results after market close on Wednesday.

• Shopify Earnings Release: Shopify will release its Q4 and full-year 2024 financial results on Tuesday, February 11.
• Analyst Expectations: Analysts anticipate a strong performance with a 27.4% year-over-year increase in revenue to $2.73 billion and a 71.2% rise in EPS to $0.43.
• Shopify Business Strategy: Shopify focuses on e-commerce software and services, reducing exposure to tariffs, and leveraging strategic growth drivers like attracting enterprise-level businesses and enhancing its platform with AI and automation.

Opinion:

Quite a few important companies are reporting earnings this week.

Plenty of data tabled for release also.

Markets should be volatile.

Investing Updates : What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Earnings from NFLX and Airline Stocks; Trump Inauguration)

URL: https://www.moomoo.com/community/feed/what-to-expect-in-the-week-ahead-nflx-earnings-and-113853802479621?global_content=%7B%22promote_content%22%3A%22mm%3Afeed%3A113853802479621%22%2C%22invite%22%3A103096561%7D&futusource=news_headline_topnews

Apple Intelligence:

Investors are closely monitoring corporate earnings reports, particularly from Netflix and airline stocks, as well as the potential impact of Trump’s inauguration on market dynamics.  Economic indicators like consumer sentiment, existing home sales, and jobless claims will also be crucial in shaping market movements.

Opinion:

All focus is on Trump's inauguration. Celebrations are great for happiness 😄. I think it will be bullish this week.