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Monday, 31 August 2026

Investing Updates: What to Expect in the Week Ahead (Nonfarm Payrolls; Earnings from AVGO, DELL)


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The article’s main message is that the first week of September could be unusually important for both the AI trade and Federal Reserve expectations, with three major catalysts: Dell earnings on Tuesday, Broadcom earnings on Wednesday, and the August U.S. jobs report on Friday.

What matters most this week

1. Friday’s U.S. jobs report is probably the biggest market-wide catalyst. July payrolls unexpectedly fell by 23,000, while unemployment held at 4.1%. Economists now expect only a modest August rebound—roughly 50,000–58,000 jobs, with unemployment around 4.1%. (Bureau of Labor Statistics)

That matters because investors have recently increased bets on a September Fed rate hike, following hawkish comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Reuters puts the implied probability at about 57%. (Reuters)

The market therefore faces a narrow “Goldilocks” zone:

  • Moderately weak payrolls: probably positive—reduces pressure for tighter policy without signalling recession.

  • Very strong payrolls: potentially negative because Treasury yields and rate-hike expectations could rise.

  • Extremely weak payrolls: also negative because recession fears could overwhelm hopes for easier policy.

The BLS confirms the August Employment Situation will be released Friday, September 4 at 8:30am ET. (Bureau of Labor Statistics)

Dell: enormous expectations are already priced in

Dell reports fiscal Q2 2027 on Tuesday, September 1. Dell itself confirms the earnings event. (Dell Technologies)

The extraordinary part is how far DELL has already run. Depending on whether dividends and exact dates are included, it has gained roughly 250–266% in 2026 through August 28. (MarketBeat)

So the Moomoo article’s quoted “272% YTD” isn't wildly wrong, although different data providers give slightly different numbers.

Wall Street expects approximately $45 billion revenue, more than 50% higher year-on-year, while adjusted EPS expectations are around $4.91. Traders are pricing an earnings-day move approaching 10% in either direction. (Investopedia)

The bull thesis remains compelling: hyperscalers and AI developers need huge quantities of GPU servers, storage, networking and associated infrastructure. Dell reportedly has an enormous AI-server backlog, while analysts see its supply-chain capabilities and pricing discipline as important advantages. (Zacks)

But this is also Dell's biggest problem: good results may no longer be good enough. Morgan Stanley has highlighted how dramatically expectations for AI-hardware suppliers have increased. (MarketWatch)

In other words, Dell probably needs something closer to beat + strong guidance + expanding profitability, rather than merely meeting consensus.

Broadcom: arguably the more important AI earnings report

Broadcom reports fiscal Q3 after Wednesday's market close, officially confirmed by the company. (Broadcom Investors)

AVGO has increasingly become one of the market's key ways to invest in AI infrastructure outside Nvidia because of its networking chips and especially custom AI accelerators/ASICs.

Expectations are extremely high. Some recent estimates put quarterly revenue around $29 billion and EPS above $3, while JPMorgan reportedly expects FY2026 AI revenue to exceed $56 billion. (scanx.trade)

Nvidia's strong results last week provide an encouraging read-through: Nvidia's guidance reinforced the argument that AI compute demand remains constrained more by supply than lack of customers. Semiconductor stocks including Broadcom subsequently rose. (Stocktwits)

Cathie Wood's ARK also bought 57,705 Broadcom shares worth roughly $20.6 million, generating additional attention immediately before earnings. (TradingView)

But AVGO has its own “expectations problem”: strong AI growth is already widely assumed.


What investors are saying online

The overall tone I found across Reddit and investment-oriented social channels is bullish on AI demand but increasingly nervous about valuation and earnings expectations.

On Reddit, Broadcom is widely regarded as one of the strongest alternatives or complements to Nvidia. Discussions frequently highlight custom AI chips, networking exposure and hyperscaler demand. At the same time, the recurring counterargument is valuation: one recent r/ValueInvesting discussion asking why everyone isn't going “full port” AVGO immediately attracted responses centred on how much optimism is already embedded in the price. (Reddit)

WallStreetBets is predictably much more speculative. Recent AVGO earnings trades have involved large options positions and “all-in” bets. One highly upvoted thread after Broadcom's previous earnings illustrates the underlying danger: traders complained that AVGO could report seemingly good numbers and still fall because expectations were even higher. (Reddit)

That lesson is particularly relevant this week.

Stocktwits-related commentary is more enthusiastic. Nvidia's results triggered renewed interest in AVGO, AMD and Intel as traders interpreted Nvidia's guidance as evidence that the broader AI semiconductor cycle remains healthy. ARK's $20 million Broadcom purchase has also attracted attention. (Stocktwits)

For Dell, investor sentiment is similarly bullish but perhaps even more momentum-driven because of the stock's ~260% 2026 advance. The prevailing narrative is that Dell has transformed in investors' minds from a mature PC manufacturer into an important AI-data-centre infrastructure beneficiary.

But the latest price action shows nervousness: DELL dropped roughly 3.4% on Friday, August 28, leaving it about 11% below its August record high. (MarketWatch)

I found substantially less useful/current discussion specifically about this week's catalysts on HardwareZone, Facebook, Instagram, TikTok and Threads. The searchable conversation is dominated by U.S.-focused platforms such as Reddit, Stocktwits and financial X-style commentary, so I wouldn't infer Singapore retail sentiment from the absence of HardwareZone posts.

My read on market sentiment

I'd characterize the setup as:

Broad market: cautiously bullish, but fragile.
AVGO: bullish AI fundamentals / high expectations.
DELL: very bullish fundamentals / extremely high expectations.
Jobs report: asymmetric risk because either extreme could hurt stocks.

The interesting change compared with earlier phases of the AI rally is that investors no longer seem to be asking simply “Is AI demand strong?” Nvidia has largely answered that.

They're increasingly asking:

“Is demand strong enough to justify the valuations and expectations already built into these stocks?”

That distinction explains Marvell's recent reaction. Its quarter slightly exceeded expectations, yet the shares dropped after hours because investors wanted a much larger upside surprise. Dell and Broadcom face essentially the same hurdle.

What I would watch

The Wednesday-to-Friday sequence may be more important than Dell alone. ADP's August employment report comes Wednesday—ADP confirms the September 2 release date—followed by Broadcom that evening and official payrolls Friday. (ADP Employment Report)

For AVGO, I'd focus less on headline EPS and more on AI revenue growth, custom-accelerator customers, networking demand and FY2027 commentary. For Dell, watch AI-server orders/backlog, margins and whether management raises full-year guidance.

And Friday's payroll number could trump everything. Reuters notes that the S&P 500 is already near record levels while AI infrastructure earnings remain one of the primary supports for the bull market. (Reuters)

Bottom line: the Moomoo article is broadly right that investors want a “moderate slowdown.” But the current environment looks somewhat less forgiving than its wording suggests. Following the Fed's more hawkish tone, a strong jobs number could now be distinctly negative for high-duration AI stocks by pushing yields higher, while Dell and Broadcom simultaneously face an unusually high bar for earnings.

For investors already heavily exposed to Nvidia, Broadcom, Dell or other AI names, this therefore looks less like an obvious buying week and more like a major test of whether earnings growth can continue outrunning rapidly rising expectations.

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