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Saturday, 26 September 2026

Data Updates: Retrenchments Are Rising Again. Here’s Why Singapore PMETs Should Be Concerned


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πŸ“‰ Article summary: Singapore PMETs and rising retrenchments

The DollarsAndSense article argues that Singapore's labour market is showing warning signs for PMETs even though the overall economy and employment numbers still look healthy.

The article was published on 24 September 2026, shortly after MOM released its 2Q 2026 labour-market figures. (DollarsAndSense.sg)

The headline numbers

  • 4,620 workers were retrenched in 2Q 2026, up from 3,830 in 1Q.

  • This is the fourth consecutive quarterly increase and the highest quarterly number since 4Q 2020.

  • Overall unemployment remains low at 1.9%.

  • But the proportion of retrenched residents who found employment within six months fell from 60.7% to 54.9%.

  • Job vacancies fell from 73,300 to 68,600.

  • Recruitment rate fell from 1.6% to 1.4%. (DollarsAndSense.sg)

So the article's basic argument is:

The problem isn't mass unemployment yet. It's that the consequences of losing a job appear to be getting worse.


πŸ‘” Why PMETs are particularly highlighted

This is probably the most important part of the article.

Resident PMET retrenchment incidence increased from 2.6 to 3.2 per 1,000 employees.

Degree holders had a retrenchment incidence of 3.1 per 1,000, the highest among educational groups.

More importantly, their ability to find another job deteriorated:

  • PMET six-month re-entry: 59.6% → 54.1%

  • Degree holders: 58.3% → 49.9%

For degree holders, that means fewer than half of retrenched workers had returned to employment within six months. (DollarsAndSense.sg)

Older workers are even more exposed

For residents aged 50–59:

  • Retrenchment incidence: 3.1 → 3.6 per 1,000

  • Six-month re-entry: 51.8% → 41.9%

That is a particularly significant deterioration.

However, younger workers aren't completely insulated. Workers below 30 had the lowest retrenchment incidence but still had the highest unemployment rate at 5.7% in June 2026. (DollarsAndSense.sg)


πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡¬ The really interesting issue: Singapore is still creating jobs

This is where the article goes beyond simply saying "retrenchments are rising."

Total employment actually increased by 11,400 in 2Q 2026.

On the surface, that's good.

But:

Resident employment: +2,200
Non-resident employment: +9,200

So most of the net employment increase came from non-residents. (DollarsAndSense.sg)

This is one of the article's central concerns:

An economy can simultaneously create jobs and become more difficult for a retrenched Singapore PMET to navigate.

The new jobs may not be in the same industries, occupations or skill categories as the jobs being eliminated.


πŸ“‰ PMET vacancies are also falling

Total vacancies dropped from:

73,300 → 68,600

The biggest reductions were in PMET positions.

Two sectors are particularly noteworthy:

Financial Services

  • 5,800 → 4,500 vacancies

Information & Communications

  • 5,300 → 4,400 vacancies

Those are also sectors experiencing significant restructuring/retrenchments. (DollarsAndSense.sg)

That creates a potentially uncomfortable combination:

More PMET retrenchments + fewer PMET vacancies + slower hiring = longer job searches.


πŸ’» What about tech and AI?

This is where the online discussion becomes particularly interesting.

MOM says the 2Q retrenchment increase was driven primarily by business reorganisation and restructuring, especially in outward-oriented sectors including:

  • Manufacturing

  • Information & Communications

  • Financial Services

Importantly, MOM's September parliamentary answer says retrenchments specifically in e-commerce and tech-enabled sectors have actually fluctuated between 480 and 580 per quarter, below their 2023–2024 peaks. The six-month re-entry rate for that group improved from 53% in 4Q 2025 to 61% in 1Q 2026. (Ministry of Manpower Singapore)

So it would be too simplistic to say:

"AI is causing the current retrenchment surge."

The official data does not establish that.

But AI-driven restructuring is clearly part of the broader anxiety among tech/knowledge workers online.


πŸ—£️ What are Singaporeans saying online?

I searched current Reddit and HardwareZone discussions around the same 2Q labour-market data, plus recent discussions about PMET layoffs.

The online sentiment is considerably more pessimistic than the official headline "labour market remains resilient."

Reddit: "Getting another job is the real problem"

A recent r/singaporejobs discussion asked people who had been retrenched about their job searches.

One recurring observation was that experienced workers can spend six months or more searching, particularly in the PMET market. Some commenters also reported seeing job advertisements offering relatively low salaries while asking for several years of experience. (Reddit)

That lines up quite closely with the article's statistics: the issue isn't necessarily that everyone is unemployed; it's that re-entry is taking longer.

Another Reddit discussion

A September discussion about the latest retrenchment numbers produced comments suggesting that some workers who were previously able to move between companies easily now find themselves unemployed for months. One commenter described being unemployed for seven months after previously having multiple consulting opportunities. (Reddit)

These are anecdotes, not representative statistics, but they're useful for understanding why the official six-month re-entry number resonates with people.


πŸ’¬ HardwareZone discussion

HardwareZone has also been discussing the same underlying numbers.

A current thread about the 2Q retrenchment report notes:

  • 4,620 retrenchments

  • highest since 4Q 2020

  • vacancies down to 68,600

One commenter questioned why fewer laid-off workers are finding jobs, while others speculated about displaced workers moving into lower-skilled/platform work. (HardwareZone Forums)

Earlier HWZ discussion around the 1Q figures was already focused on the disproportionate impact on degree holders and older workers. (HardwareZone Forums)

So the latest article isn't appearing in isolation — there has been a progressively developing discussion throughout 2026.


πŸ§‘‍πŸ’Ό One especially important counterpoint

The article's argument is reasonable, but there's an important nuance that I think gets lost in the headline.

MOM's data isn't saying Singapore's labour market has collapsed.

In fact:

  • Employment is still growing.

  • Unemployment is only 1.9%.

  • There are still 68,600 vacancies.

  • There are 1.48 vacancies for every unemployed person.

  • The 12-month re-entry rate for retrenched residents remained broadly stable at 69.8%, versus 69.4% previously. (Ministry of Manpower Singapore)

That last number is especially important.

The six-month rate fell sharply, but the 12-month rate didn't.

That suggests the story may be more accurately described as:

People are taking longer to find suitable employment, rather than the majority permanently losing their employability.

That's a meaningful difference.


πŸ”₯ Why the article is getting attention

There are essentially two competing narratives.

Official/data narrative

"The labour market remains relatively tight and employment continues to grow."

That's supported by MOM's figures. (Ministry of Manpower Singapore)

Worker/PMET narrative

"Finding another comparable job after retrenchment is becoming much harder."

The declining six-month re-entry rate, falling PMET vacancies and lower recruitment rate support this concern. (DollarsAndSense.sg)

Both can be true simultaneously.


πŸ“Š The situation in one table

IndicatorDirectionWhy it matters
RetrenchmentsπŸ”΄ ↑More workers losing jobs
PMET retrenchment incidenceπŸ”΄ ↑White-collar workers increasingly affected
Degree-holder retrenchmentπŸ”΄ HighHigher-educated workers aren't immune
50–59 retrenchmentπŸ”΄ ↑Older PMETs particularly exposed
6-month re-entryπŸ”΄ ↓Job searches taking longer
PMET vacanciesπŸ”΄ ↓Fewer comparable openings
Recruitment rateπŸ”΄ ↓Employers becoming more cautious
Total employment🟒 ↑Economy still creating jobs
Unemployment🟒 LowNo broad labour-market crisis
12-month re-entry🟒 ~stableMost eventually find employment

🎯 The part I'd pay most attention to

The 4,620 retrenchments isn't by itself the most worrying statistic.

The more interesting combination is:

Retrenchments ↑
6-month re-entry ↓
PMET vacancies ↓
Recruitment rate ↓

while:

GDP ↑
Total employment ↑
Unemployment remains low

That tells us something quite specific: Singapore's economy can be growing while the market for certain experienced white-collar workers becomes more competitive.

And that's exactly the concern the DollarsAndSense article is highlighting. (DollarsAndSense.sg)

For a mid-career PMET, the practical lesson

The data doesn't justify assuming that a retrenchment is imminent or that PMET employment is collapsing. But it does suggest that the old assumption of "I'll just find another similar job within a few months" is becoming less dependable.

The sensible risk-management response is therefore less about panic and more about maintaining employability, financial runway and the ability to move across adjacent roles/sectors.

Also worth noting: MOM says workers who need substantial reskilling can use Career Conversion Programmes, Mid-Career Pathways and SkillsFuture Career Transition Programmes, with employers potentially receiving up to 90% salary support for eligible career switchers under CCPs. (Ministry of Manpower Singapore)

Overall: the article is directionally supported by the latest labour-market data, but its headline is more alarming than the full picture. The strongest evidence is not "Singapore PMETs are losing their jobs en masse"; it's that retrenched PMETs are taking longer to get back into comparable employment, particularly older and degree-holding workers, even while Singapore's overall economy continues to grow.

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